Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sirius are at home to AIK Stockholm on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Studenternas IP (Uppsala), with Adam Ladebäck as the referee. Our favourites are Sirius (60%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sirius are 2nd with 55 points after 26 matches (17W 4D 5L), whereas AIK Stockholm are 8th with 38 points (10W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. Sirius have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; AIK Stockholm average 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sirius: 17W 4D 3L, goals 55–30; AIK Stockholm: 9W 7D 8L, goals 38–42.
- Head to head. In their 24 meetings so far, Sirius have 4 wins, AIK Stockholm have 13 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–37.
What to expect
Sirius should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 24; Sirius 4 wins, 7 draws, AIK Stockholm 13 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sirius 55–30, AIK Stockholm 38–42.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sirius are missing: no absences. AIK Stockholm are without: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.59 | 4.69 | 5.19 |
| Market average | 1.54 | 4.47 | 5.01 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.56 | 36.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.21 | 2.16 | 43.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.33 | 39.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sirius 2–1 AIK Stockholm, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sirius 2nd (55 points), AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points).
- Form in the competition: Sirius 17W 4D 3L (55:30), AIK Stockholm 9W 7D 8L (38:42).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sirius 4W 7D 13L, goals 27–37.
- Absences: Sirius 0, AIK Stockholm 6.
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: who is missing
Sirius
- No reported absences
AIK Stockholm
- D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
- I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
- K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 | Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
Sirius
Home and away
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
SiriusLLDWWAIK StockholmLDWDLSirius vs AIK Stockholm: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
AIK Stockholm +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Sirius vs AIK Stockholm?
Our probabilities: Sirius to win 60%, a draw 21%, AIK Stockholm to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Studenternas IP, Uppsala. Referee: Adam Ladebäck.
Who will be missing?
Sirius: no absences. AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.67).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 1–1 (9.1%) and 2–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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