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Allsvenskan · Matchweek 26 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: tip, odds and prediction – 27 October 2026, Allsvenskan

1AIK Stockholm3.57
XDraw3.90
2IF Elfsborg2.16

Best available odds · Updated 27/10/26, 16:02

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

AIK Stockholm meet IF Elfsborg on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Strawberry Arena (Solna), refereed by Sars Joakim. IF Elfsborg (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: tip and prediction
Result
IF Elfsborg to win
2.16
Goals
Both teams to score
1.53
47%chance of the result
62%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or IF Elfsborg (X2) – 72% probability, top odds 1.33.

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AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.573.902.16
Market average3.373.711.97
Lowest odds2.963.291.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1580.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.5660.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3539.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.472.3439.6%
BTTS – yes1.531.4962.0%
BTTS – no2.552.4438.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 16:02. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: AIK Stockholm 1–1 IF Elfsborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: AIK Stockholm 8th (38 points), IF Elfsborg 5th (46 points).
  • Form in the competition: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 8L (40:43), IF Elfsborg 11W 9D 5L (37:24).
  • H2H: 23 matches: AIK Stockholm 10W 7D 6L, goals 40–34.
  • Absences: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.

Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

AIK Stockholm28%
Draw25%
IF Elfsborg47%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or IF Elfsborg (X2)72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Both sides to score: yes62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.53
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.4% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.1% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.63
Likely
IF Elfsborg to win47.2% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.16
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals39.9% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.46
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.6% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.47
Outsider
Both sides to score: no38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.55
Outsider
AIK Stockholm to win27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.57
Outsider
Draw25.1% · fair odds 3.98 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.74
probability of over 46.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.8%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 18.3%
0 : 27.3%
2 : 17.0%
1 : 06.2%

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: who is missing

AIK Stockholm

  • D. Besirovicthigh injury · will miss the match
  • I. Cisseankle injury · will miss the match
  • K. Fillingknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Helmknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Papagiannopoulosknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Redkinknee injury · will miss the match

IF Elfsborg

  • V. Elfstromnot in the squad · will miss the match
  • L. Haggnot in the squad · will miss the match

This list may be updated before kick-off.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Hammarby FF2717-4-656:2255
2Sirius2617-4-556:3455
3Djurgårdens IF2716-4-755:2552
4BK Häcken2713-10-448:3049
5IF Elfsborg2712-10-541:2746
6Västerås SK FK2713-5-940:3844
7Malmö FF2712-4-1142:3640
8AIK Stockholm2710-8-943:4738
9IFK Göteborg2710-8-936:4638
10Gais2710-7-1034:2737
11IF Brommapojkarna279-7-1139:4434
12Mjällby AIF276-9-1230:4327
13Kalmar FF276-5-1623:4223
14Degerfors IF275-5-1722:4620
15Örgryte IS274-7-1633:6019
16Halmstad264-5-1718:4917

Recent matches

AIK Stockholm

2 NovLGais 2–1 AIK Stockholm
27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
24 OctWSirius 1–2 AIK Stockholm
17 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IFK Göteborg
10 OctLAIK Stockholm 5–6 IF Brommapojkarna

IF Elfsborg

1 NovWIF Elfsborg 2–1 Örgryte IS
27 OctDAIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
23 OctDIF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmö FF
18 OctDSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
12 OctWIF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad

Home and away

AIK Stockholm at home13 matches: 4W 3D 6L, goals 21–29
IF Elfsborg away13 matches: 4W 6D 3L, goals 18–17

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, AIK Stockholm are 8th with 38 points after 27 matches (10W 8D 9L), whereas IF Elfsborg are 5th with 46 points (12W 10D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. AIK Stockholm have scored 1.6 and conceded 1.7 goals per game on average in this competition; IF Elfsborg average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. AIK Stockholm: 10W 7D 8L, goals 40–43; IF Elfsborg: 11W 9D 5L, goals 37–24.
  4. Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, AIK Stockholm have 10 wins, IF Elfsborg have 6 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 40–34.

What to expect

IF Elfsborg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 23; AIK Stockholm 10 wins, 7 draws, IF Elfsborg 6 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: AIK Stockholm 40–43, IF Elfsborg 37–24.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 60%.
  5. Absent: AIK Stockholm 6, IF Elfsborg 2.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

AIK Stockholm are missing: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg are without: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: team stats compared

AIK StockholmIF Elfsborg
31%Form69%
55%Attack45%
20%Defence80%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
46.5%Overall53.5%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

AIK StockholmLDWDL
IF ElfsborgWDDDW

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: head to head

All matches
10AIK Stockholm
7Draws
6IF Elfsborg
27/10/26 · AIK Stockholm 2–2 IF Elfsborg
3/5/26 · IF Elfsborg 1–1 AIK Stockholm
21/3/26 · IF Elfsborg 3–2 AIK Stockholm
2/11/25 · IF Elfsborg 0–3 AIK Stockholm
27/4/25 · AIK Stockholm 2–0 IF Elfsborg
27/10/24 · AIK Stockholm 2–1 IF Elfsborg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg: questions and answers

What is the best tip for AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

Our result tip is IF Elfsborg to win (odds 2.16), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or IF Elfsborg (X2).

Who will win AIK Stockholm vs IF Elfsborg?

Our probabilities: AIK Stockholm to win 28%, a draw 25%, IF Elfsborg to win 47%.

What time and where is kick-off?

27 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Strawberry Arena, Solna. Referee: Sars Joakim.

Who will be missing?

AIK Stockholm: D. Besirovic, I. Cisse, K. Filling, A. Helm, S. Papagiannopoulos, A. Redkin. IF Elfsborg: V. Elfstrom, L. Hagg. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 60% (odds 1.63); under 2.5 goals is at 40% (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.3%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Sirius vs Halmstad 3 NovHammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg 6 NovÖrgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK 7 NovDegerfors IF vs Gais 7 NovIFK Göteborg vs Malmö FF 8 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.