Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF meet Rosenborg on 18 October 2026 · 13:30 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), refereed by Espen Eskås, Norway. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L), whereas Rosenborg are 4th with 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Head to head. In their 23 meetings so far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 7 wins, Rosenborg have 9 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 38–43.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Rosenborg are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 23; Sarpsborg 08 FF 7 wins, 7 draws, Rosenborg 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.5 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Alternative tip: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (probability 65%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF are missing: no absences. Rosenborg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.36 | 4.02 | 2.78 |
| Market average | 2.29 | 3.81 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.71 | 2.53 | 36.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 18/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–1 Rosenborg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 7W 7D 9L, goals 38–43.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 0, Rosenborg 0.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: who is missing
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- No reported absences
Rosenborg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: head to head
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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Our result tip is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
Our probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win 41%, a draw 25%, Rosenborg to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
18 October 2026, kick-off at 13:30, at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Espen Eskås, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: no absences. Rosenborg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.50); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.71).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 65% probability (odds 1.44).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.2%); after that come 2–1 (8.7%) and 1–2 (7.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.