Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Ham-Kam are at home to Rosenborg on 24 October 2026 · 17:00 at Briskeby (Hamar), with Stian Rovig Sletner as the referee. Our favourites are Rosenborg (61%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ham-Kam are 13th with 27 points after 25 matches (7W 6D 12L), whereas Rosenborg are 4th with 43 points (13W 4D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Ham-Kam have scored 1.4 and conceded 2.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Rosenborg average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ham-Kam: 7W 5D 11L, goals 33–48; Rosenborg: 11W 4D 8L, goals 43–31.
- Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Ham-Kam have 3 wins, Rosenborg have 7 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–20.
What to expect
Rosenborg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 11; Ham-Kam 3 wins, 1 draw, Rosenborg 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ham-Kam 33–48, Rosenborg 43–31.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Absent: Ham-Kam 2, Rosenborg 3.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ham-Kam are missing: M. Johnsgard, B. Isufi. Rosenborg are without: J. Bakke, E. Slordal, H. Volden. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.83 | 4.72 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.26 | 4.49 | 1.53 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.45 | 64.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.62 | 35.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:08. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ham-Kam 1–2 Rosenborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ham-Kam 13th (27 points), Rosenborg 4th (43 points).
- Form in the competition: Ham-Kam 7W 5D 11L (33:48), Rosenborg 11W 4D 8L (43:31).
- H2H: 11 matches: Ham-Kam 3W 1D 7L, goals 11–20.
- Absences: Ham-Kam 2, Rosenborg 3.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: who is missing
Ham-Kam
- M. Johnsgardknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Isufiabsence · doubtful
Rosenborg
- J. Bakkeinjury · will miss the match
- E. Slordalfoot injury · will miss the match
- H. Voldeninjury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Ham-Kam
Home and away
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Ham-KamDLLWLRosenborgWWWDWHam-Kam vs Rosenborg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Ham-Kam +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Rosenborg?
Our probabilities: Ham-Kam to win 18%, a draw 21%, Rosenborg to win 61%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:00, at Briskeby, Hamar. Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner.
Who will be missing?
Ham-Kam: M. Johnsgard, B. Isufi. Rosenborg: J. Bakke, E. Slordal, H. Volden. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 64% (odds 1.48); under 2.5 goals is at 36% (odds 2.77).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.8%); after that come 0–2 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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