Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF are at home to Kristiansund BK on 1 November 2026 · 16:00 at Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsberg), with Mathias Stofringshaug as the referee. Our favourites are Sarpsborg 08 FF (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.53 | 4.70 | 6.31 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.49 | 5.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.32 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.11 | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.42 | 65.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.88 | 2.74 | 34.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.09 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.36 | 39.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 12:07. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Kristiansund BK, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Sarpsborg 08 FF 9th (31 points), Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 8W 7D 9L (30:35), Kristiansund BK 5W 5D 14L (25:49).
- H2H: 18 matches: Sarpsborg 08 FF 4W 6D 8L, goals 21–28.
- Absences: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: who is missing
Sarpsborg 08 FF
- F. Carstenseninjury · will miss the match
- D. Karlsbakkabsence · will miss the match
- M. Opokuankle injury · will miss the match
Kristiansund BK
- I. H. Aalberggroin injury · will miss the match
- L. Alvheimabsence · will miss the match
- D. Ulvestadred card · will miss the match
- W. Igorknee injury · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home and away
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points after 25 matches (8W 7D 10L), whereas Kristiansund BK are 15th with 23 points (6W 5D 14L).
- Attack and defence. Sarpsborg 08 FF have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Kristiansund BK average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sarpsborg 08 FF: 8W 7D 9L, goals 30–35; Kristiansund BK: 5W 5D 14L, goals 25–49.
- Head to head. In their 18 meetings so far, Sarpsborg 08 FF have 4 wins, Kristiansund BK have 8 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 21–28.
What to expect
Sarpsborg 08 FF should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 18; Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 wins, 6 draws, Kristiansund BK 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30–35, Kristiansund BK 25–49.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Absent: Sarpsborg 08 FF 3, Kristiansund BK 4.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Sarpsborg 08 FF are missing: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK are without: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Sarpsborg 08 FFLWLWLKristiansund BKWDLLLSarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Our result tip is Sarpsborg 08 FF to win (odds 1.53), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw (1X).
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK?
Our probabilities: Sarpsborg 08 FF to win 63%, a draw 21%, Kristiansund BK to win 16%.
What time and where is kick-off?
1 November 2026, kick-off at 16:00, at Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg. Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug.
Who will be missing?
Sarpsborg 08 FF: F. Carstensen, D. Karlsbakk, M. Opoku. Kristiansund BK: I. H. Aalberg, L. Alvheim, D. Ulvestad, W. Igor. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 66% (odds 1.47); under 2.5 goals is at 34% (odds 2.88).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 2–0 (8.9%) and 1–1 (8.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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