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Segunda División · Matchweek 13 · 9 November 2026 · 19:30

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: tip, odds and prediction – 9 November 2026, Segunda División

1Sabadell1.70
XDraw4.11
2Real Sociedad II5.55

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:00

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Sabadell are at home to Real Sociedad II on 9 November 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell). Our favourites are Sabadell (58%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: tip and prediction
Result
Sabadell to win
1.70
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
2.05
Combo
Sabadell plus over 2.5 goals
2.81
36% · combo fair price
58%chance of the result
51%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sabadell or draw (1X) – 82% probability, top odds 1.19.

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Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.704.115.55
Market average1.613.885.25
Lowest odds1.573.705.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.2773.6%
Over 2.5 goals2.051.8950.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9449.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.1130.3%
BTTS – yes1.951.8550.4%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Sabadell 1–0 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Sabadell 10th (17 points), Real Sociedad II 18th (11 points).
  • Form in the competition: Sabadell 4W 5D 3L (12:11), Real Sociedad II 3W 2D 7L (15:22).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Sabadell 1W 1D 2L, goals 4–5.
  • Absences: Sabadell 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Who will win Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?

Sabadell58%
Draw24%
Real Sociedad II18%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: more markets and betting tips

Sabadell or draw (1X)82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.6% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.38
Likely
Sabadell to win58.1% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 2.05
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.95
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.6% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.91
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 2.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.3% · fair odds 3.31 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw24.1% · fair odds 4.15 · best 4.11
Outsider
Real Sociedad II to win17.8% · fair odds 5.62 · best 5.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 012.1%
2 : 010.9%
1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.8%
0 : 06.7%
3 : 06.5%

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: who is missing

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

Real Sociedad II

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Real Sociedad II

31 OctWReal Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
24 OctLLas Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
17 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–4 Almería
10 OctLCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–3 Granada CF

Home and away

Sabadell at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 8–4
Real Sociedad II away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–12

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Sabadell are 10th with 17 points after 12 matches (4W 5D 3L), whereas Real Sociedad II are 18th with 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
  2. Attack and defence. Sabadell have scored 1.0 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Real Sociedad II average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Sabadell: 4W 5D 3L, goals 12–11; Real Sociedad II: 3W 2D 7L, goals 15–22.
  4. Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Sabadell have 1 win, Real Sociedad II have 2 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–5.

What to expect

Sabadell should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 2.05), and our probability for it is 51%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 4; Sabadell 1 win, 1 draw, Real Sociedad II 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Sabadell 12–11, Real Sociedad II 15–22.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
  5. Absent: Sabadell 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 50%, best available odds 1.95). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Sabadell are missing: no absences. Real Sociedad II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: team stats compared

SabadellReal Sociedad II
63%Form38%
40%Attack60%
71%Defence29%
36%Head to head64%
44%Goals56%
53.5%Overall46.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

SabadellLDLWD
Real Sociedad IIWLLLL

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: head to head

All matches
1Sabadell
1Draws
2Real Sociedad II
17/2/24 · Real Sociedad II 0–1 Sabadell
5/11/23 · Sabadell 1–2 Real Sociedad II
2/4/23 · Real Sociedad II 1–1 Sabadell
5/11/22 · Sabadell 1–2 Real Sociedad II

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.2%

Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?

Our result tip is Sabadell to win (odds 1.70), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 2.05). The safer pick is Sabadell or draw (1X).

Who will win Sabadell vs Real Sociedad II?

Our probabilities: Sabadell to win 58%, a draw 24%, Real Sociedad II to win 18%.

What time and where is kick-off?

9 November 2026, kick-off at 19:30, at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell.

Who will be missing?

Sabadell: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 2.05); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 1.95).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.1%); after that come 2–0 (10.9%) and 1–1 (10.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.