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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 24 October 2026 · 17:30

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, Segunda División

1Las Palmas2.25
XDraw3.59
2Real Sociedad II3.33

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 14:13

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Las Palmas meet Real Sociedad II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas), refereed by P. Morales. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Las Palmas or draw (1X)
1.39
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.46
70%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.253.593.33
Market average2.193.463.13
Lowest odds2.103.303.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2177.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7255.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.172.1045.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.942.7734.0%
BTTS – yes1.621.5858.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2541.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Las Palmas 1–1 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Las Palmas 11th (17 points), Real Sociedad II 18th (11 points).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Las Palmas 3W 2D 0L, goals 5–2.
  • Absences: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Las Palmas43%
Draw27%
Real Sociedad II30%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Las Palmas or draw (1X)70.1% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.46
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.9% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.17
Outsider
Las Palmas to win42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.25
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.94
Outsider
Real Sociedad II to win29.9% · fair odds 3.34 · best 3.33
Outsider
Draw27.1% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.59
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.9%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.63 · Under 2.24
probability of over 57.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: who is missing

Las Palmas

  • No reported absences

Real Sociedad II

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Las Palmas

2 NovWOviedo 2–3 Las Palmas
24 OctWLas Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
17 OctLLas Palmas 0–3 Castellón
11 OctLMallorca 3–1 Las Palmas
4 OctDLas Palmas 2–2 Valladolid

Real Sociedad II

31 OctWReal Sociedad II 1–0 Girona
24 OctLLas Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
17 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–4 Almería
10 OctLCelta de Vigo II 4–1 Real Sociedad II
4 OctLReal Sociedad II 2–3 Granada CF

Home and away

Las Palmas at home6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 6–8
Real Sociedad II away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 9–12

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Las Palmas are 11th with 17 points after 12 matches (5W 2D 5L), whereas Real Sociedad II are 18th with 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
  2. Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Las Palmas have 3 wins, Real Sociedad II have 0 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–2.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 5; Las Palmas 3 wins, 2 draws, Real Sociedad II 0 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.4 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Absent: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Las Palmas are missing: no absences. Real Sociedad II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: head to head

All matches
3Las Palmas
2Draws
0Real Sociedad II
24/10/26 · Las Palmas 1–0 Real Sociedad II
30/1/26 · Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas
12/9/25 · Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II
30/1/22 · Las Palmas 0–0 Real Sociedad II
29/10/21 · Real Sociedad II 0–1 Las Palmas

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Our result tip is Las Palmas or draw (1X) (odds 1.39), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Las Palmas or draw (1X).

Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?

Our probabilities: Las Palmas to win 43%, a draw 27%, Real Sociedad II to win 30%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Referee: P. Morales.

Who will be missing?

Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.78); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.17).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.