Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Las Palmas meet Real Sociedad II on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas), refereed by P. Morales. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.25 | 3.59 | 3.33 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.46 | 3.13 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.78 | 1.72 | 55.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.10 | 45.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.94 | 2.77 | 34.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Las Palmas 1–1 Real Sociedad II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Las Palmas 11th (17 points), Real Sociedad II 18th (11 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Las Palmas 3W 2D 0L, goals 5–2.
- Absences: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: who is missing
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Real Sociedad II
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 | |
| 2 | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 | |
| 6 | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 | |
| 8 | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 | |
| 9 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 | |
| 14 | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 | |
| 15 | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 16 | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 | |
| 18 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 | |
| 19 | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 | |
| 20 | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Las Palmas
Home and away
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Las Palmas are 11th with 17 points after 12 matches (5W 2D 5L), whereas Real Sociedad II are 18th with 11 points (3W 2D 7L).
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Las Palmas have 3 wins, Real Sociedad II have 0 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–2.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Las Palmas 3 wins, 2 draws, Real Sociedad II 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.4 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Las Palmas 0, Real Sociedad II 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Las Palmas are missing: no absences. Real Sociedad II are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: head to head
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Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our result tip is Las Palmas or draw (1X) (odds 1.39), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46). The safer pick is Las Palmas or draw (1X).
Who will win Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II?
Our probabilities: Las Palmas to win 43%, a draw 27%, Real Sociedad II to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas. Referee: P. Morales.
Who will be missing?
Las Palmas: no absences. Real Sociedad II: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.78); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.0%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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