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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 15:30

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, Eredivisie

1Feyenoord1.19
XDraw9.45
2Fortuna Sittard17.00

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 13:04

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Feyenoord meet Fortuna Sittard on 31 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Feijenoord (Rotterdam), refereed by Joey Kooij. Feyenoord (82%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: tip and prediction
Result
Feyenoord to win
1.19
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.70
Combo
Feyenoord plus over 2.5 goals
1.51
66% · combo fair price
82%chance of the result
57%chance for the goals tip
3–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Feyenoord or draw (1X) – 93% probability, top odds 1.04. As the result has short odds, we recommend adding a goals tip.

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Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.199.4517.00
Market average1.158.2414.55
Lowest odds1.136.579.64
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.081.0589.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.281.2475.0%
Under 2.5 goals3.903.7425.0%
Over 3.5 goals1.701.6656.8%
BTTS – yes1.801.7453.5%
BTTS – no2.052.0046.5%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Fortuna Sittard, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Fortuna Sittard 6th (19 points).
  • Form in the competition: Feyenoord 7W 3D 0L (32:11), Fortuna Sittard 5W 3D 2L (17:17).
  • H2H: 19 matches: Feyenoord 13W 4D 2L, goals 41–18.
  • Absences: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.

Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?

Feyenoord82%
Draw12%
Fortuna Sittard7%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: more markets and betting tips

Feyenoord or draw (1X)93.4% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 1.5 goals89.1% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.08
Likely
Feyenoord to win81.9% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 2.5 goals75.0% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 3.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.70
Possible
Both sides to score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.25
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.0% · fair odds 4.01 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw11.5% · fair odds 8.69 · best 9.45
Outsider
Fortuna Sittard to win6.6% · fair odds 15.14 · best 17.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 11.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.1%

Most likely correct scores

3 : 09.6%
2 : 09.3%
3 : 18.1%
2 : 17.9%
4 : 07.4%
4 : 16.3%

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: who is missing

Feyenoord

  • T. Beelenbroken leg · will miss the match
  • J. Bosknee injury · will miss the match
  • R. Nelsonmuscle injury · will miss the match
  • B. Nieuwkoopknee injury · will miss the match
  • G. Smalankle injury · will miss the match
  • J. St. Justeabsence · will miss the match
  • S. van Persieknock · will miss the match

Fortuna Sittard

  • R. Bayramknee injury · will miss the match
  • I. Marquezinjury · doubtful

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Feyenoord

31 OctDFeyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctDPSV Eindhoven 1–1 Feyenoord
21 OctLReal Betis 1–0 Feyenoord
17 OctWTelstar 3–4 Feyenoord
14 OctWFeyenoord 3–2 Como

Fortuna Sittard

31 OctDFeyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
25 OctWFortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
18 OctDNEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
10 OctDFortuna Sittard 1–1 Twente
19 SeptWWillem II 0–1 Fortuna Sittard

Home and away

Feyenoord at home5 matches: 2W 3D 0L, goals 12–5
Fortuna Sittard away6 matches: 3W 3D 0L, goals 12–9

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Feyenoord are 1st with 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L), whereas Fortuna Sittard are 6th with 19 points (5W 4D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Feyenoord have scored 3.2 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Fortuna Sittard average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Feyenoord: 7W 3D 0L, goals 32–11; Fortuna Sittard: 5W 3D 2L, goals 17–17.
  4. Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, Feyenoord have 13 wins, Fortuna Sittard have 2 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–18.

What to expect

Feyenoord should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 3–0 (9.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

At 1.19, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.70), and our probability for it is 57%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 75%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 19; Feyenoord 13 wins, 4 draws, Fortuna Sittard 2 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Feyenoord 32–11, Fortuna Sittard 17–17.
  4. We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 75%.
  5. Absent: Feyenoord 7, Fortuna Sittard 2.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Feyenoord are missing: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Fortuna Sittard are without: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: team stats compared

FeyenoordFortuna Sittard
62%Form38%
76%Attack24%
67%Defence33%
93%Head to head7%
80%Goals20%
74.7%Overall25.3%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

FeyenoordDDWWW
Fortuna SittardDWDDW

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: head to head

All matches
13Feyenoord
4Draws
2Fortuna Sittard
31/10/26 · Feyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
3/5/26 · Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Feyenoord
17/9/25 · Feyenoord 2–0 Fortuna Sittard
12/4/25 · Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Feyenoord
30/11/24 · Feyenoord 1–1 Fortuna Sittard
14/4/24 · Fortuna Sittard 0–1 Feyenoord

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.1%

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our result tip is Feyenoord to win (odds 1.19), and our goals tip is Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.70). The safer pick is Feyenoord or draw (1X).

Who will win Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard?

Our probabilities: Feyenoord to win 82%, a draw 12%, Fortuna Sittard to win 7%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:30, at Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam. Referee: Joey Kooij.

Who will be missing?

Feyenoord: T. Beelen, J. Bos, R. Nelson, B. Nieuwkoop, G. Smal, J. St. Juste, S. van Persie. Fortuna Sittard: R. Bayram, I. Marquez. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 75% (odds 1.28); under 2.5 goals is at 25% (odds 3.90).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 3–0 (9.6%); after that come 2–0 (9.3%) and 3–1 (8.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

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