Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Pardubice are at home to Zlín on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Letní Stadion (Pardubice), with Lukáš Nehasil as the referee. Our favourites are Pardubice (62%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Pardubice vs Zlín: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Pardubice are 12th with 14 points after 13 matches (4W 2D 7L), whereas Zlín are 16th with 3 points (0W 3D 10L).
What to expect
Pardubice should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Pardubice are missing: no absences. Zlín are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Pardubice vs Zlín: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.65 | 4.56 | 6.71 |
| Market average | 1.48 | 4.18 | 6.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.44 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.77 | 52.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.99 | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.89 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.89 | 49.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Pardubice 1–0 Zlín, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Pardubice 12th (14 points), Zlín 16th (3 points).
- Absences: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.
Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Pardubice vs Zlín: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Pardubice vs Zlín: who is missing
Pardubice
- No reported absences
Zlín
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Pardubice vs Zlín: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 9-4-0 | 32:7 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 22:15 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 25:13 | 23 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7-2-3 | 15:8 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-3-4 | 21:18 | 21 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:18 | 20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-2-5 | 16:19 | 20 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 28:21 | 19 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4-5-3 | 13:13 | 17 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 12:18 | 15 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 13 | 12 | 3-2-7 | 7:22 | 11 | |
| 14 | 12 | 2-4-6 | 13:22 | 10 | |
| 15 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 12:26 | 7 | |
| 16 | 13 | 0-3-10 | 11:26 | 3 |
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Pardubice vs Zlín: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Pardubice vs Zlín?
Our result tip is Pardubice to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Pardubice or draw (1X).
Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?
Our probabilities: Pardubice to win 62%, a draw 22%, Zlín to win 15%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Letní Stadion, Pardubice. Referee: Lukáš Nehasil.
Who will be missing?
Pardubice: no absences. Zlín: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.9%); after that come 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (10.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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