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Chance Liga · Matchweek 11 · 17 October 2026 · 14:00

Pardubice vs Zlín: tip, odds and prediction – 17 October 2026, Chance Liga

3–0
DDLLD
1Pardubice1.65
XDraw4.56
2Zlín6.71

Best available odds · Updated 17/10/26, 12:01

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Pardubice are at home to Zlín on 17 October 2026 · 14:00 at Letní Stadion (Pardubice), with Lukáš Nehasil as the referee. Our favourites are Pardubice (62%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Pardubice vs Zlín: tip and prediction
Result
Pardubice to win
1.65
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Combo
Pardubice plus over 2.5 goals
2.52
40% · combo fair price
62%chance of the result
53%chance for the goals tip
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Pardubice or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.18.

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Pardubice vs Zlín: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Pardubice are 12th with 14 points after 13 matches (4W 2D 7L), whereas Zlín are 16th with 3 points (0W 3D 10L).

What to expect

Pardubice should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
  2. Absent: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Pardubice are missing: no absences. Zlín are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Pardubice vs Zlín: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.654.566.71
Market average1.484.186.11
Lowest odds1.443.604.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2275.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7752.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9947.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8932.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:01. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Pardubice 1–0 Zlín, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Pardubice 12th (14 points), Zlín 16th (3 points).
  • Absences: Pardubice 0, Zlín 0.

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Pardubice62%
Draw22%
Zlín15%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Pardubice vs Zlín: more markets and betting tips

Pardubice or draw (1X)84.7% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Pardubice to win62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.65
Likely
Over 2.5 goals52.9% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw22.2% · fair odds 4.51 · best 4.56
Outsider
Zlín to win15.3% · fair odds 6.53 · best 6.71
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.98
probability of over 52.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.9%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 110.1%
2 : 19.8%
3 : 07.5%
3 : 16.4%

Pardubice vs Zlín: who is missing

Pardubice

  • No reported absences

Zlín

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Pardubice vs Zlín: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slavia Praha139-4-032:731
2Mladá Boleslav137-3-322:1524
3Sigma Olomouc137-3-322:1524
4Sparta Praha137-2-425:1323
5Slovan Liberec127-2-315:823
6Teplice136-3-421:1821
7FK Jablonec136-2-516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno136-2-516:1920
9Plzeň135-4-428:2119
10Bohemians 1905124-5-313:1317
11Hradec Králové134-3-612:1815
12Pardubice134-2-715:1914
13Baník Ostrava123-2-77:2211
14Artis122-4-613:2210
15Slovácko131-4-812:267
16Zlín130-3-1011:263

Recent matches

Pardubice

31 OctLPardubice 1–2 Slovan Liberec
25 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Pardubice
17 OctWPardubice 3–0 Zlín
11 OctLSparta Praha 2–0 Pardubice
19 SeptWPardubice 2–1 Bohemians 1905

Zlín

31 OctDArtis 2–2 Zlín
24 OctDZlín 1–1 Sigma Olomouc
17 OctLPardubice 3–0 Zlín
9 OctLZlín 0–1 Slavia Praha
20 SeptDFK Jablonec 1–1 Zlín

Home and away

Pardubice at home6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 8–8
Zlín away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 8–15

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Pardubice vs Zlín: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Pardubice vs Zlín?

Our result tip is Pardubice to win (odds 1.65), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Pardubice or draw (1X).

Who will win Pardubice vs Zlín?

Our probabilities: Pardubice to win 62%, a draw 22%, Zlín to win 15%.

What time and where is kick-off?

17 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Letní Stadion, Pardubice. Referee: Lukáš Nehasil.

Who will be missing?

Pardubice: no absences. Zlín: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.9%); after that come 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (10.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Artis vs Bohemians 1905 4 NovZlín vs Slovácko 7 NovSlovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 7 NovHradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc 7 NovZbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.