Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Catanzaro meet Padova on 31 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro), refereed by Niccolò Turrini. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Catanzaro vs Padova: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points after 10 matches (1W 3D 6L), whereas Padova are 9th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Catanzaro have scored 1.1 and conceded 2.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Padova average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Catanzaro: 1W 2D 6L, goals 10–21; Padova: 4W 1D 4L, goals 9–10.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Catanzaro have 1 win, Padova have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–7.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the Padova are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Catanzaro 1 win, 3 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Catanzaro 10–21, Padova 9–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Catanzaro are missing: no absences. Padova are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Padova: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.41 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Market average | 2.31 | 3.34 | 2.92 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.14 | 2.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.22 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.77 | 53.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 46.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.87 | 32.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Catanzaro 1–1 Padova, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Catanzaro 20th (6 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Catanzaro 1W 2D 6L (10:21), Padova 4W 1D 4L (9:10).
- H2H: 7 matches: Catanzaro 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Catanzaro 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Catanzaro vs Padova: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Catanzaro vs Padova: who is missing
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Catanzaro vs Padova: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Catanzaro
Home and away
Catanzaro vs Padova: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CatanzaroDDLDLPadovaDWWLLCatanzaro vs Padova: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Catanzaro vs Padova: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our result tip is Catanzaro or draw (1X) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Catanzaro or draw (1X).
Who will win Catanzaro vs Padova?
Our probabilities: Catanzaro to win 40%, a draw 28%, Padova to win 32%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. Referee: Niccolò Turrini.
Who will be missing?
Catanzaro: no absences. Padova: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.07).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (9.1%) and 2–1 (8.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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