Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Avellino v Padova is on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino); Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Avellino vs Padova: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.76 |
| Market average | 2.16 | 3.16 | 3.45 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.32 | 70.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.18 | 2.09 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.71 | 54.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.91 | 3.64 | 25.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 11:23. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Avellino 1–1 Padova, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Avellino 5th (15 points), Padova 9th (14 points).
- H2H: 6 matches: Avellino 1W 2D 3L, goals 4–6.
- Absences: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Avellino vs Padova: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Avellino vs Padova: who is missing
Avellino
- No reported absences
Padova
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Avellino
Home and away
Avellino vs Padova: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Avellino are 5th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Padova are 9th with 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Avellino have 1 win, Padova have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 4–6.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Avellino 1 win, 2 draws, Padova 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.7 goals.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 45%.
- Absent: Avellino 0, Padova 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Avellino are missing: no absences. Padova are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Avellino vs Padova: head to head
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Avellino vs Padova: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Avellino vs Padova?
Our result tip is Avellino or draw (1X) (odds 1.35), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74). The safer pick is Avellino or draw (1X).
Who will win Avellino vs Padova?
Our probabilities: Avellino to win 43%, a draw 30%, Padova to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino. Referee: Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi, Italy.
Who will be missing?
Avellino: no absences. Padova: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 45% (odds 2.18); under 2.5 goals is at 55% (odds 1.74).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.7%); after that come 1–0 (12.1%) and 0–1 (9.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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