Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oviedo are at home to Las Palmas on 2 November 2026 · 15:15 at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo), with Morilla Turrion, Alejandro as the referee. Our favourites are Oviedo (56%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Oviedo are 9th with 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), whereas Las Palmas are 11th with 17 points (5W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Oviedo have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Las Palmas average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Oviedo: 5W 3D 3L, goals 15–12; Las Palmas: 4W 2D 5L, goals 14–19.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Oviedo have 3 wins, Las Palmas have 2 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–9.
What to expect
Oviedo should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Oviedo 3 wins, 5 draws, Las Palmas 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Oviedo 15–12, Las Palmas 14–19.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Oviedo are missing: no absences. Las Palmas are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.72 | 4.03 | 5.07 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.83 | 4.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.12 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.79 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.98 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 2/11/26, 12:53. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Oviedo 1–0 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oviedo 9th (18 points), Las Palmas 11th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Oviedo 5W 3D 3L (15:12), Las Palmas 4W 2D 5L (14:19).
- H2H: 10 matches: Oviedo 3W 5D 2L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: who is missing
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Oviedo
Home and away
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
OviedoLDWWLLas PalmasWWLLDOviedo vs Las Palmas: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Our result tip is Oviedo to win (odds 1.72), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.85). The safer pick is Oviedo or draw (1X).
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Our probabilities: Oviedo to win 56%, a draw 24%, Las Palmas to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
2 November 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. Referee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro.
Who will be missing?
Oviedo: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.8%); after that come 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.