Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Almería meet Oviedo on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at UD Almería Stadium (Almería), refereed by G. Cid. Almería (56%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Almería vs Oviedo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Almería are 2nd with 26 points after 12 matches (8W 2D 2L), whereas Oviedo are 9th with 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Almería have 5 wins, Oviedo have 6 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 22–22.
What to expect
Almería should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (11.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Almería 5 wins, 6 draws, Oviedo 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Absent: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Almería are missing: no absences. Oviedo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.72 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.78 | 4.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.98 | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.99 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Almería 1–0 Oviedo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Almería 2nd (26 points), Oviedo 9th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Almería 5W 6D 6L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Almería vs Oviedo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Almería vs Oviedo: who is missing
Almería
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Almería
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Almería vs Oviedo: head to head
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Almería vs Oviedo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Almería vs Oviedo?
Almería -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
Our probabilities: Almería to win 56%, a draw 25%, Oviedo to win 19%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at UD Almería Stadium, Almería. Referee: G. Cid.
Who will be missing?
Almería: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 52% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 48% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (11.5%); after that come 1–1 (10.9%) and 2–0 (10.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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