Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Newcastle meet Everton on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at St James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne), refereed by John Brooks. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Newcastle vs Everton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Newcastle are 13th with 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), whereas Everton are 7th with 13 points (3W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Newcastle have scored 1.5 and conceded 1.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Everton average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Newcastle: 3W 2D 3L, goals 12–14; Everton: 2W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Head to head. In their 32 meetings so far, Newcastle have 10 wins, Everton have 17 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 41–53.
What to expect
Newcastle should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 32; Newcastle 10 wins, 5 draws, Everton 17 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Newcastle 12–14, Everton 8–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Absent: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Newcastle are missing: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton are without: J. Grealish. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.23 | 3.70 | 3.43 |
| Market average | 2.17 | 3.56 | 3.27 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.71 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.17 | 44.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.66 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Newcastle 1–1 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Newcastle 13th (11 points), Everton 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Newcastle 3W 2D 3L (12:14), Everton 2W 4D 2L (8:9).
- H2H: 32 matches: Newcastle 10W 5D 17L, goals 41–53.
- Absences: Newcastle 5, Everton 1.
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Newcastle vs Everton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Newcastle vs Everton: who is missing
Newcastle
- E. Jaouenmuscle injury · will miss the match
- V. Livramentoknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Fernandez-Pardoillness · doubtful
- L. Mileymuscle injury · doubtful
- W. Osulaankle injury · doubtful
Everton
- J. Grealishabsence · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Newcastle vs Everton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Newcastle
Home and away
Newcastle vs Everton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
NewcastleLWLLWEvertonWLLDWNewcastle vs Everton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Newcastle vs Everton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Newcastle vs Everton?
Over 2.5 goals (1.77); Newcastle or draw (1X) (1.36).
Who will win Newcastle vs Everton?
Our probabilities: Newcastle to win 44%, a draw 27%, Everton to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
2 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Newcastle: E. Jaouen, V. Livramento, M. Fernandez-Pardo, L. Miley, W. Osula. Everton: J. Grealish. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 56% (odds 1.77); under 2.5 goals is at 44% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.