Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton meet Chelsea on 17 October 2026 · 12:30 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), refereed by Paul Tierney, England. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Everton vs Chelsea: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.10 | 3.84 | 2.40 |
| Market average | 2.98 | 3.66 | 2.30 |
| Lowest odds | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.18 | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.26 | 42.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 09:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Chelsea, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Everton 7th (13 points), Chelsea 4th (16 points).
- Absences: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Everton vs Chelsea: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Everton vs Chelsea: who is missing
Everton
- No reported absences
Chelsea
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Everton vs Chelsea: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Everton
Home and away
Everton vs Chelsea: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Everton are 7th with 13 points after 9 matches (3W 4D 2L), whereas Chelsea are 4th with 16 points (5W 1D 3L).
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Everton 0, Chelsea 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Everton are missing: no absences. Chelsea are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
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Everton vs Chelsea: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Everton vs Chelsea?
Our result tip is Draw or Chelsea (X2) (odds 1.43), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53). The safer pick is Draw or Chelsea (X2).
Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
Our probabilities: Everton to win 32%, a draw 26%, Chelsea to win 42%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: Paul Tierney, England.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Chelsea: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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