Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Arsenal meet Everton on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Emirates Stadium (London), refereed by Tony Harrington, England. Arsenal (68%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Arsenal vs Everton: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.48 | 5.35 | 9.10 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.83 | 7.79 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.24 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.74 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.24 | 2.11 | 45.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.95 | 2.80 | 33.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.98 | 1.93 | 48.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.80 | 51.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Arsenal 2–0 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Arsenal 1st (24 points), Everton 7th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Arsenal 6W 0D 1L (11:5), Everton 2W 4D 1L (8:7).
- H2H: 35 matches: Arsenal 21W 7D 7L, goals 61–29.
- Absences: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Arsenal vs Everton: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Arsenal vs Everton: who is missing
Arsenal
- B. Sakathigh injury · will miss the match
- W. Salibaback injury · will miss the match
- C. Tzolishamstring injury · will miss the match
Everton
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Arsenal vs Everton: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Arsenal
Home and away
Arsenal vs Everton: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Arsenal are 1st with 24 points after 9 matches (8W 0D 1L), whereas Everton are 7th with 13 points (3W 4D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Arsenal have scored 1.6 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Everton average 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Arsenal: 6W 0D 1L, goals 11–5; Everton: 2W 4D 1L, goals 8–7.
- Head to head. In their 35 meetings so far, Arsenal have 21 wins, Everton have 7 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 61–29.
What to expect
Arsenal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 35; Arsenal 21 wins, 7 draws, Everton 7 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Arsenal 11–5, Everton 8–7.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.84). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Arsenal are missing: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Arsenal vs Everton: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Arsenal vs Everton: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Arsenal vs Everton: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our result tip is Arsenal to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Arsenal or draw (1X).
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Our probabilities: Arsenal to win 68%, a draw 20%, Everton to win 12%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Emirates Stadium, London. Referee: Tony Harrington, England.
Who will be missing?
Arsenal: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.24).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 1.98).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.7%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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