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Premier League · Matchweek 8 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Arsenal vs Everton: tip, odds and prediction – 24 October 2026, Premier League

WWWWL
2–0
WLLDW
1Arsenal1.48
XDraw5.35
2Everton9.10

Best available odds · Updated 24/10/26, 13:40

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Arsenal meet Everton on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Emirates Stadium (London), refereed by Tony Harrington, England. Arsenal (68%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Arsenal vs Everton: tip and prediction
Result
Arsenal to win
1.48
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Arsenal plus over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · combo fair price
68%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Arsenal or draw (1X) – 88% probability, top odds 1.12.

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Arsenal vs Everton: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.485.359.10
Market average1.424.837.79
Lowest odds1.364.337.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2476.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7454.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.242.1145.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.952.8033.8%
BTTS – yes1.981.9348.2%
BTTS – no1.851.8051.8%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Arsenal 2–0 Everton, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Arsenal 1st (24 points), Everton 7th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: Arsenal 6W 0D 1L (11:5), Everton 2W 4D 1L (8:7).
  • H2H: 35 matches: Arsenal 21W 7D 7L, goals 61–29.
  • Absences: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Arsenal68%
Draw20%
Everton12%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Arsenal vs Everton: more markets and betting tips

Arsenal or draw (1X)87.6% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.12
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.6% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.29
Likely
Arsenal to win67.7% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.48
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.2% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.47
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.84
Possible
Both sides to score: no51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: yes48.2% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.98
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.8% · fair odds 2.96 · best 2.95
Outsider
Draw19.9% · fair odds 5.02 · best 5.35
Outsider
Everton to win12.4% · fair odds 8.08 · best 9.10
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.3%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.99 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.1%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 012.1%
1 : 011.6%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 19.2%
3 : 08.5%
3 : 16.8%

Arsenal vs Everton: who is missing

Arsenal

  • B. Sakathigh injury · will miss the match
  • W. Salibaback injury · will miss the match
  • C. Tzolishamstring injury · will miss the match

Everton

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Arsenal vs Everton: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Arsenal98-0-114:524
2Manchester City97-0-220:1021
3Brighton96-1-224:719
4Chelsea95-1-319:1516
5Liverpool94-3-211:915
6Brentford93-5-116:914
7Everton93-4-29:913
8Bournemouth93-3-314:1312
9Tottenham93-3-310:1012
10Aston Villa93-3-310:1312
11Hull City92-5-211:1011
12Leeds92-5-29:811
13Newcastle93-2-412:1511
14Ipswich93-2-414:1811
15Fulham92-3-49:119
16Coventry93-0-69:169
17Manchester United91-4-410:157
18Crystal Palace92-1-69:217
19Nottingham Forest91-3-56:126
20Sunderland91-2-67:175

Recent matches

Arsenal

1 NovWLiverpool 0–1 Arsenal
24 OctWArsenal 2–0 Everton
21 OctDBayern München 2–2 Arsenal
18 OctWNottingham Forest 0–1 Arsenal
13 OctWArsenal 3–0 Lille

Everton

2 NovWNewcastle 0–1 Everton
24 OctLArsenal 2–0 Everton
17 OctLEverton 0–2 Chelsea
11 OctDHull City 2–2 Everton
19 SeptWEverton 1–0 Ipswich

Home and away

Arsenal at home4 matches: 4W 0D 0L, goals 9–2
Everton away5 matches: 1W 3D 1L, goals 4–5

Arsenal vs Everton: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Arsenal are 1st with 24 points after 9 matches (8W 0D 1L), whereas Everton are 7th with 13 points (3W 4D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Arsenal have scored 1.6 and conceded 0.7 goals per game on average in this competition; Everton average 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Arsenal: 6W 0D 1L, goals 11–5; Everton: 2W 4D 1L, goals 8–7.
  4. Head to head. In their 35 meetings so far, Arsenal have 21 wins, Everton have 7 wins and 7 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 61–29.

What to expect

Arsenal should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (12.1%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 35; Arsenal 21 wins, 7 draws, Everton 7 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Arsenal 11–5, Everton 8–7.
  4. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Absent: Arsenal 3, Everton 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.84). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Arsenal are missing: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Arsenal vs Everton: team stats compared

ArsenalEverton
67%Form33%
58%Attack42%
55%Defence45%
85%Head to head15%
75%Goals25%
69.0%Overall31.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

ArsenalWWWWL
EvertonWLLDW

Arsenal vs Everton: head to head

All matches
21Arsenal
7Draws
7Everton
24/10/26 · Arsenal 2–0 Everton
14/3/26 · Arsenal 2–0 Everton
20/12/25 · Everton 0–1 Arsenal
5/4/25 · Everton 1–1 Arsenal
14/12/24 · Arsenal 0–0 Everton
19/5/24 · Arsenal 2–1 Everton

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.4%

Arsenal vs Everton: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Arsenal vs Everton?

Our result tip is Arsenal to win (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Arsenal or draw (1X).

Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?

Our probabilities: Arsenal to win 68%, a draw 20%, Everton to win 12%.

What time and where is kick-off?

24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Emirates Stadium, London. Referee: Tony Harrington, England.

Who will be missing?

Arsenal: B. Saka, W. Saliba, C. Tzolis. Everton: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.84); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.24).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 1.98).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (12.1%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.7%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Everton vs Coventry 6 NovLeeds vs Tottenham 7 NovFulham vs Newcastle 7 NovArsenal vs Hull City 7 NovNottingham Forest vs Manchester City 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.