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Serie A · Matchweek 12 · 21 November 2026 · 19:45

Napoli vs Torino: tip, odds and prediction – 21 November 2026, Serie A

LWDLW
VS
LLWWW
1Napoli1.54
XDraw4.64
2Torino6.74

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 03:10

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Napoli meet Torino on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples). Napoli (63%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Napoli vs Torino: tip and prediction
Result
Napoli to win
1.54
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.45
Combo
Napoli plus over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · combo fair price
63%chance of the result
66%chance for the goals tip
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Napoli or draw (1X) – 85% probability, top odds 1.14.

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Napoli vs Torino: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.544.646.74
Market average1.494.366.37
Lowest odds1.444.106.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2376.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7654.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.172.1245.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.852.7834.0%
BTTS – yes1.851.8450.9%
BTTS – no1.951.9049.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:10. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Napoli 2–0 Torino, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Napoli 8th (14 points), Torino 10th (13 points).
  • Absences: Napoli 0, Torino 0.

Who will win Napoli vs Torino?

Napoli63%
Draw22%
Torino15%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Napoli vs Torino: more markets and betting tips

Napoli or draw (1X)85.1% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.45
Likely
Napoli to win63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.54
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.80
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.9% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.17
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.85
Outsider
Draw21.7% · fair odds 4.60 · best 4.64
Outsider
Torino to win14.9% · fair odds 6.72 · best 6.74
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 011.6%
1 : 011.6%
2 : 19.8%
1 : 19.8%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.6%

Napoli vs Torino: who is missing

Napoli

  • No reported absences

Torino

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Napoli vs Torino: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Lazio109-1-024:828
2Inter108-1-126:1325
3AS Roma107-3-028:1024
4Como107-2-118:823
5AC Milan106-3-121:1221
6Frosinone106-2-224:1420
7Juventus105-2-313:1017
8Napoli104-2-417:1314
9Bologna104-2-414:1314
10Torino104-1-514:1613
11Genoa104-1-510:1413
12Cagliari104-1-59:1513
13Atalanta103-2-516:2011
14Lecce103-0-711:219
15Parma102-2-68:158
16Fiorentina102-2-615:238
17Sassuolo102-2-616:268
18Monza102-1-717:247
19Udinese101-2-711:235
20Venezia101-0-96:203

Recent matches

Napoli

1 NovLJuventus 2–0 Napoli
28 OctWMonza 1–4 Napoli
24 OctDNapoli 3–3 AS Roma
20 OctWNapoli 4–3 Bodø/Glimt
17 OctLVenezia 1–0 Napoli

Torino

1 NovLFrosinone 2–0 Torino
27 OctLTorino 1–3 Como
23 OctWTorino 3–2 Monza
19 OctWParma 0–3 Torino
12 OctWTorino 2–1 Udinese

Home and away

Napoli at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 8–5
Torino away5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 7–6

Napoli vs Torino: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Napoli are 8th with 14 points after 10 matches (4W 2D 4L), whereas Torino are 10th with 13 points (4W 1D 5L).

What to expect

Napoli should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.

Prediction: key points

  1. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
  2. Absent: Napoli 0, Torino 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 55%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Napoli are missing: no absences. Torino are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Napoli vs Torino: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Napoli vs Torino?

Our result tip is Napoli to win (odds 1.54), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.45). The safer pick is Napoli or draw (1X).

Who will win Napoli vs Torino?

Our probabilities: Napoli to win 63%, a draw 22%, Torino to win 15%.

What time and where is kick-off?

21 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Naples.

Who will be missing?

Napoli: no absences. Torino: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.17).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–0 (11.6%); after that come 1–0 (11.6%) and 2–1 (9.8%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Venezia vs Udinese 6 NovCagliari vs Frosinone 7 NovTorino vs Lecce 7 NovParma vs Bologna 7 NovAS Roma vs Sassuolo 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.