Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
BK Häcken are at home to Degerfors IF on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Nordic Wellness Arena (Gothenburg), with Joakim Östling, Sweden as the referee. Our favourites are BK Häcken (69%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, BK Häcken are 4th with 49 points after 27 matches (13W 10D 4L), whereas Degerfors IF are 14th with 20 points (5W 5D 17L).
- Attack and defence. BK Häcken have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Degerfors IF average 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. BK Häcken: 11W 9D 4L, goals 43–30; Degerfors IF: 5W 5D 14L, goals 21–37.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, BK Häcken have 4 wins, Degerfors IF have 3 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 20–13.
What to expect
BK Häcken should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; BK Häcken 4 wins, 3 draws, Degerfors IF 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: BK Häcken 43–30, Degerfors IF 21–37.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: BK Häcken 2, Degerfors IF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
BK Häcken are missing: B. Engdahl, F. Ohman. Degerfors IF are without: J. Pikkarainen. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.40 | 5.51 | 7.85 |
| Market average | 1.36 | 5.09 | 7.18 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.23 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.01 | 46.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: BK Häcken 2–0 Degerfors IF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: BK Häcken 4th (49 points), Degerfors IF 14th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: BK Häcken 11W 9D 4L (43:30), Degerfors IF 5W 5D 14L (21:37).
- H2H: 10 matches: BK Häcken 4W 3D 3L, goals 20–13.
- Absences: BK Häcken 2, Degerfors IF 1.
Who will win BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: who is missing
BK Häcken
- B. Engdahlabsence · will miss the match
- F. Ohmanshoulder injury · will miss the match
Degerfors IF
- J. Pikkarainenknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 2 |  Sirius | 26 | 17-4-5 | 56:34 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 26 | 4-5-17 | 18:49 | 17 |
Recent matches
BK Häcken
Home and away
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BK HäckenWDWWWDegerfors IFLLLLDBK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: questions and answers
What is the best tip for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
Our result tip is BK Häcken to win (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is BK Häcken or draw (1X).
Who will win BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
Our probabilities: BK Häcken to win 69%, a draw 18%, Degerfors IF to win 13%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg. Referee: Joakim Östling, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
BK Häcken: B. Engdahl, F. Ohman. Degerfors IF: J. Pikkarainen. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.