Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Mallorca meet Cádiz on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Parma), refereed by Gonzalo Romero Freixas. Mallorca (64%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Mallorca are 5th with 22 points after 12 matches (6W 4D 2L), whereas Cádiz are 19th with 10 points (2W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Mallorca have scored 1.2 and conceded 0.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Cádiz average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mallorca: 5W 4D 2L, goals 13–6; Cádiz: 2W 4D 5L, goals 14–14.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Mallorca have 3 wins, Cádiz have 1 win and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–8.
What to expect
Mallorca should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Mallorca 3 wins, 6 draws, Cádiz 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Mallorca 13–6, Cádiz 14–14.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Mallorca are missing: no absences. Cádiz are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.50 | 4.50 | 7.24 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.27 | 6.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.17 | 3.00 | 31.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.89 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mallorca 5th (22 points), Cádiz 19th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Mallorca 5W 4D 2L (13:6), Cádiz 2W 4D 5L (14:14).
- H2H: 10 matches: Mallorca 3W 6D 1L, goals 9–8.
- Absences: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Mallorca vs Cádiz: who is missing
Mallorca
- No reported absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Mallorca
Home and away
Mallorca vs Cádiz: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
MallorcaWDDWDCádizLWLLWMallorca vs Cádiz: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Mallorca vs Cádiz: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Mallorca -1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Our probabilities: Mallorca to win 64%, a draw 22%, Cádiz to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
2 November 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas.
Who will be missing?
Mallorca: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.85); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 49% probability (odds 1.95).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.5%); after that come 2–0 (12.2%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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