Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cádiz are at home to AD Ceuta FC on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at JP Financial Estadio (Cádiz), with A. Fuentes as the referee. Our favourites are Cádiz (46%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.39 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.33 | 3.19 | 29.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.06 | 2.02 | 45.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:29. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cádiz 19th (10 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Cádiz 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9.
- Absences: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: who is missing
Cádiz
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cádiz
Home and away
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cádiz are 19th with 10 points after 12 matches (2W 4D 6L), whereas AD Ceuta FC are 22nd with 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Cádiz have 1 win, AD Ceuta FC have 3 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 5–9.
What to expect
Cádiz should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Cádiz 1 win, 1 draw, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.8 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cádiz are missing: no absences. AD Ceuta FC are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: head to head
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Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our result tip is Cádiz to win (odds 2.13), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Cádiz or draw (1X).
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our probabilities: Cádiz to win 46%, a draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC to win 27%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at JP Financial Estadio, Cádiz. Referee: A. Fuentes.
Who will be missing?
Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.0%); after that come 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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