Ipswich are at home to Bournemouth on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Portman Road (Ipswich). Our favourites are Bournemouth (49%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Ipswich are 14th with 11 points after 9 matches (3W 2D 4L), whereas Bournemouth are 8th with 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Ipswich have scored 1.6 and conceded 2.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Bournemouth average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Ipswich: 3W 2D 4L, goals 14–18; Bournemouth: 3W 3D 3L, goals 14–13.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Ipswich have 1 win, Bournemouth have 1 win and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–9.
What to expect
Bournemouth should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Ipswich 1 win, 4 draws, Bournemouth 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Ipswich 14–18, Bournemouth 14–13.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Ipswich 0, Bournemouth 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Ipswich are missing: no absences. Bournemouth are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 3.90 | 3.96 | 2.02 |
| Market average | 3.68 | 3.69 | 1.93 |
| Lowest odds | 3.28 | 3.28 | 1.83 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 78.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.68 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.20 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.64 | 35.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.59 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.26 | 41.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Ipswich 1–1 Bournemouth, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Ipswich 14th (11 points), Bournemouth 8th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Ipswich 3W 2D 4L (14:18), Bournemouth 3W 3D 3L (14:13).
- H2H: 6 matches: Ipswich 1W 4D 1L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Ipswich 0, Bournemouth 0.
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: who is missing
Ipswich
- No reported absences
Bournemouth
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Ipswich
Home and away
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Bournemouth +0 (Asian handicap) (1.53); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win Ipswich vs Bournemouth?
Our probabilities: Ipswich to win 26%, a draw 26%, Bournemouth to win 49%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Portman Road, Ipswich.
Who will be missing?
Ipswich: no absences. Bournemouth: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.72); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.31).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 1–2 (9.5%) and 0–1 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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