Bet with MINO CASINO →Feyenoord v Excelsior is on 21 November 2026 · 17:45 at De Kuip (Rotterdam). We think Feyenoord (84%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Feyenoord are 1st with 25 points after 11 matches (7W 4D 0L), whereas Excelsior are 15th with 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
What to expect
Feyenoord should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 3–1, about 4 goals combined, and 3–0 (10.0%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
At 1.14, the odds on the result are low, so take a look at the goals markets: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.65), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 76%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 76%.
- Absent: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Feyenoord are missing: no absences. Excelsior are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.14 | 10.60 | 18.50 |
| Market average | 1.12 | 9.29 | 16.50 |
| Lowest odds | 1.11 | 8.75 | 15.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.08 | 1.05 | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.23 | 76.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.96 | 23.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.62 | 58.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.90 | 48.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Feyenoord 3–0 Excelsior, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Feyenoord 1st (25 points), Excelsior 15th (11 points).
- Absences: Feyenoord 0, Excelsior 0.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: who is missing
Feyenoord
- No reported absences
Excelsior
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Feyenoord vs Excelsior: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 |  Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
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Feyenoord vs Excelsior: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Over 3.5 goals (1.65); Feyenoord to win (1.14).
Who will win Feyenoord vs Excelsior?
Our probabilities: Feyenoord to win 84%, a draw 10%, Excelsior to win 6%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at De Kuip, Rotterdam.
Who will be missing?
Feyenoord: no absences. Excelsior: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 76% (odds 1.26); under 2.5 goals is at 24% (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.85).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 3–0 (10.0%); after that come 2–0 (9.2%) and 4–0 (8.1%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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