Bet with MINO CASINO →Falkirk meet ST Johnstone on 21 November 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Falkirk are 4th with 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), whereas ST Johnstone are 7th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Head to head. In their 3 meetings so far, Falkirk have 1 win, ST Johnstone have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–2.
What to expect
Falkirk should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and our probability for it is 56%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 3; Falkirk 1 win, 1 draw, ST Johnstone 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.3 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Absent: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 56%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Falkirk are missing: no absences. ST Johnstone are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Market average | 2.09 | 3.47 | 3.29 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 75.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.92 | 32.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.65 | 56.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.12 | 43.8% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:38. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 3 matches: Falkirk 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: who is missing
Falkirk
- No reported absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Falkirk vs ST Johnstone: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Draw or ST Johnstone (X2) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.67).
Who will win Falkirk vs ST Johnstone?
Our probabilities: Falkirk to win 45%, a draw 27%, ST Johnstone to win 28%.
What time and where is kick-off?
21 November 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 53% (odds 1.83); under 2.5 goals is at 47% (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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