Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Falkirk are at home to Kilmarnock on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Falkirk Stadium (Falkirk), with D. Robertson as the referee. Our favourites are Falkirk (51%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Falkirk are 4th with 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), whereas Kilmarnock are 11th with 9 points (2W 3D 7L).
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Falkirk have 5 wins, Kilmarnock have 2 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–9.
What to expect
Falkirk should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Falkirk 5 wins, 0 draws, Kilmarnock 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.7 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Falkirk are missing: no absences. Kilmarnock are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.91 | 3.90 | 4.02 |
| Market average | 1.86 | 3.81 | 3.83 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.18 | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.64 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.23 | 42.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.68 | 2.58 | 36.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.26 | 41.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:35. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Falkirk 1–1 Kilmarnock, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Falkirk 4th (18 points), Kilmarnock 11th (9 points).
- H2H: 7 matches: Falkirk 5W 0D 2L, goals 17–9.
- Absences: Falkirk 0, Kilmarnock 0.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: who is missing
Falkirk
- No reported absences
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 |  ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
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Falkirk vs Kilmarnock: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Falkirk -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Our probabilities: Falkirk to win 51%, a draw 25%, Kilmarnock to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk. Referee: D. Robertson.
Who will be missing?
Falkirk: no absences. Kilmarnock: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.68); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.62).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.8%); after that come 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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