Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Kilmarnock meet ST Johnstone on 31 October 2026 · 15:00 at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park (Kilmarnock). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Kilmarnock are 11th with 9 points after 12 matches (2W 3D 7L), whereas ST Johnstone are 7th with 14 points (3W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Kilmarnock have scored 1.0 and conceded 2.4 goals per game on average in this competition; ST Johnstone average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Kilmarnock: 2W 2D 7L, goals 11–26; ST Johnstone: 3W 4D 4L, goals 13–17.
- Head to head. In their 46 meetings so far, Kilmarnock have 16 wins, ST Johnstone have 21 wins and 9 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 52–51.
What to expect
Kilmarnock should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.2%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Here is a twist: the table suggests the ST Johnstone are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 46; Kilmarnock 16 wins, 9 draws, ST Johnstone 21 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Kilmarnock 11–26, ST Johnstone 13–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 60%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Kilmarnock are missing: no absences. ST Johnstone are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.17 | 3.82 | 3.36 |
| Market average | 2.10 | 3.61 | 3.15 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.20 | 2.71 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.18 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.61 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.34 | 39.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:17. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Kilmarnock 1–1 ST Johnstone, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Kilmarnock 11th (9 points), ST Johnstone 7th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Kilmarnock 2W 2D 7L (11:26), ST Johnstone 3W 4D 4L (13:17).
- H2H: 46 matches: Kilmarnock 16W 9D 21L, goals 52–51.
- Absences: Kilmarnock 0, ST Johnstone 0.
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: who is missing
Kilmarnock
- No reported absences
ST Johnstone
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 12 | 9-1-2 | 27:10 | 28 |
| 2 |  Rangers | 11 | 7-3-1 | 19:9 | 24 |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6-2-3 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 4 |  Falkirk | 12 | 5-3-4 | 15:12 | 18 |
| 5 |  Dundee | 11 | 5-2-4 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 11 | 4-4-3 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3-5-4 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 8 |  ST Mirren | 12 | 4-2-6 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 9 |  Motherwell | 12 | 3-3-6 | 14:20 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aberdeen | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:28 | 9 |
| 12 |  Hibernian | 11 | 2-2-7 | 11:17 | 8 |
Recent matches
Kilmarnock
Home and away
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
KilmarnockDLLWLST JohnstoneDDLDWKilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our result tip is Kilmarnock or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Kilmarnock or draw (1X).
Who will win Kilmarnock vs ST Johnstone?
Our probabilities: Kilmarnock to win 44%, a draw 26%, ST Johnstone to win 30%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park, Kilmarnock.
Who will be missing?
Kilmarnock: no absences. ST Johnstone: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.70); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 60% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.2%); after that come 2–1 (9.3%) and 1–0 (8.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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