Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Chelsea meet Tottenham on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Stamford Bridge (London), refereed by Chris Kavanagh, England. Chelsea (50%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Chelsea are 4th with 16 points after 9 matches (5W 1D 3L), whereas Tottenham are 9th with 12 points (3W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Chelsea have scored 2.4 and conceded 1.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Tottenham average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Chelsea: 4W 1D 2L, goals 17–13; Tottenham: 1W 3D 3L, goals 6–10.
- Head to head. In their 43 meetings so far, Chelsea have 24 wins, Tottenham have 8 wins and 11 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 77–47.
What to expect
Chelsea should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 43; Chelsea 24 wins, 11 draws, Tottenham 8 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Chelsea 17–13, Tottenham 6–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Chelsea are missing: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham are without: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.97 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.87 | 3.89 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.50 | 62.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.48 | 37.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 24/10/26, 13:40. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Chelsea 1–1 Tottenham, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Chelsea 4th (16 points), Tottenham 9th (12 points).
- Form in the competition: Chelsea 4W 1D 2L (17:13), Tottenham 1W 3D 3L (6:10).
- H2H: 43 matches: Chelsea 24W 11D 8L, goals 77–47.
- Absences: Chelsea 5, Tottenham 6.
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Chelsea vs Tottenham: who is missing
Chelsea
- P. Chavarriainjury · will miss the match
- E. Emeghamuscle injury · will miss the match
- J. Gittensankle injury · will miss the match
- R. Jamesknee injury · will miss the match
- E. Martinezabsence · will miss the match
Tottenham
- R. Bentancurred card · will miss the match
- L. Bergvallknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Mudrykankle injury · will miss the match
- W. Odobertknee injury · will miss the match
- X. Simonsknee injury · will miss the match
- D. Udogieknee injury · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Chelsea vs Tottenham: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Chelsea
Home and away
Chelsea vs Tottenham: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ChelseaWLWWLTottenhamWWWDLChelsea vs Tottenham: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Chelsea vs Tottenham: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our result tip is Chelsea to win (odds 1.97), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Chelsea or draw (1X).
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our probabilities: Chelsea to win 50%, a draw 25%, Tottenham to win 25%.
What time and where is kick-off?
24 October 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Stamford Bridge, London. Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England.
Who will be missing?
Chelsea: P. Chavarria, E. Emegha, J. Gittens, R. James, E. Martinez. Tottenham: R. Bentancur, L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert, X. Simons, D. Udogie. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.61); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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