Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benevento meet Catanzaro on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento), refereed by Alberto Poli. Benevento (59%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Benevento are 6th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Catanzaro are 20th with 6 points (1W 3D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Benevento have scored 1.6 and conceded 0.9 goals per game on average in this competition; Catanzaro average 1.1 scored and 2.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Benevento: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–7; Catanzaro: 1W 1D 6L, goals 9–20.
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Benevento have 0 wins, Catanzaro have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 1–1.
What to expect
Benevento should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Benevento 0 wins, 1 draw, Catanzaro 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.0 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Benevento 13–7, Catanzaro 9–20.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Benevento are missing: no absences. Catanzaro are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.69 | 4.58 | 5.75 |
| Market average | 1.57 | 4.14 | 5.15 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 3.50 | 4.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.16 | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.66 | 1.60 | 59.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.30 | 41.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.70 | 2.46 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 56.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.21 | 2.15 | 43.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 27/10/26, 17:04. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Benevento 2–1 Catanzaro, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Benevento 6th (15 points), Catanzaro 20th (6 points).
- Form in the competition: Benevento 4W 2D 2L (13:7), Catanzaro 1W 1D 6L (9:20).
- H2H: 1 match: Benevento 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Benevento 0, Catanzaro 0.
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Benevento vs Catanzaro: who is missing
Benevento
- No reported absences
Catanzaro
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Benevento vs Catanzaro: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Benevento
Home and away
Benevento vs Catanzaro: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BeneventoLDWDWCatanzaroDDLDLBenevento vs Catanzaro: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Benevento vs Catanzaro: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Benevento -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.91); Under 3.5 goals (1.55).
Who will win Benevento vs Catanzaro?
Our probabilities: Benevento to win 59%, a draw 23%, Catanzaro to win 18%.
What time and where is kick-off?
27 October 2026, kick-off at 18:00, at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento. Referee: Alberto Poli.
Who will be missing?
Benevento: no absences. Catanzaro: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.39).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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