Bet with MINO CASINO →Carrarese are at home to Sampdoria on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara). We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Carrarese are 15th with 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L), whereas Sampdoria are 19th with 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Carrarese have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Sampdoria average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Carrarese: 3W 1D 6L, goals 9–13; Sampdoria: 2W 2D 6L, goals 10–18.
- Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Carrarese have 2 wins, Sampdoria have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–4.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.73), and our probability for it is 55%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 4; Carrarese 2 wins, 1 draw, Sampdoria 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Carrarese 9–13, Sampdoria 10–18.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Carrarese 0, Sampdoria 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 55%, best available odds 1.73). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Carrarese are missing: no absences. Sampdoria are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.50 | 3.26 | 3.05 |
| Market average | 2.44 | 3.16 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.31 | 3.02 | 2.59 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 73.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.88 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.33 | 3.13 | 29.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.73 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:45. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Sampdoria, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Sampdoria 19th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Carrarese 3W 1D 6L (9:13), Sampdoria 2W 2D 6L (10:18).
- H2H: 4 matches: Carrarese 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–4.
- Absences: Carrarese 0, Sampdoria 0.
Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: who is missing
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Sampdoria
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Carrarese
Home and away
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CarrareseLWLWWSampdoriaWLDLLCarrarese vs Sampdoria: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Carrarese vs Sampdoria: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
Carrarese +0 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.73).
Who will win Carrarese vs Sampdoria?
Our probabilities: Carrarese to win 38%, a draw 29%, Sampdoria to win 33%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 16:15, at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara.
Who will be missing?
Carrarese: no absences. Sampdoria: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.97); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.73).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (10.0%) and 0–1 (9.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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