Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Palermo are at home to Carrarese on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at Renzo Barbera (Palermo), with Mattia Drigo as the referee. Our favourites are Palermo (66%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Palermo vs Carrarese: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Palermo are 1st with 26 points after 10 matches (8W 2D 0L), whereas Carrarese are 15th with 10 points (3W 1D 6L).
- Head to head. In their 5 meetings so far, Palermo have 3 wins, Carrarese have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 9–3.
What to expect
Palermo should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–0 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), and our probability for it is 62%. We estimate both teams scoring at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 5; Palermo 3 wins, 1 draw, Carrarese 1 win.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.4 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Absent: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Palermo are missing: no absences. Carrarese are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Palermo vs Carrarese: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.45 | 5.01 | 7.00 |
| Market average | 1.42 | 4.70 | 6.52 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.14 | 81.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.51 | 61.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.68 | 55.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.7% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Palermo 2–0 Carrarese, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Palermo 1st (26 points), Carrarese 15th (10 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Palermo 3W 1D 1L, goals 9–3.
- Absences: Palermo 0, Carrarese 0.
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Palermo vs Carrarese: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Palermo vs Carrarese: who is missing
Palermo
- No reported absences
Carrarese
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Palermo vs Carrarese: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
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Palermo vs Carrarese: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Palermo vs Carrarese?
Our result tip is Palermo to win (odds 1.45), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60). The safer pick is Palermo or draw (1X).
Who will win Palermo vs Carrarese?
Our probabilities: Palermo to win 66%, a draw 20%, Carrarese to win 14%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Renzo Barbera, Palermo. Referee: Mattia Drigo.
Who will be missing?
Palermo: no absences. Carrarese: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 62% (odds 1.60); under 2.5 goals is at 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 55% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–0 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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