Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Carrarese v Arezzo is on 28 October 2026 · 19:00 at Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara); Maco Di Loreto takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Carrarese are 15th with 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L), whereas Arezzo are 13th with 11 points (3W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Carrarese have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.1 goals per game on average in this competition; Arezzo average 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Carrarese: 2W 1D 5L, goals 7–9; Arezzo: 3W 1D 4L, goals 8–17.
- Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Carrarese have 3 wins, Arezzo have 4 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 17–16.
What to expect
Carrarese should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.3%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 10; Carrarese 3 wins, 3 draws, Arezzo 4 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Carrarese 7–9, Arezzo 8–17.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Carrarese are missing: no absences. Arezzo are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.15 | 3.24 | 3.85 |
| Market average | 2.13 | 3.18 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.94 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.87 | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.21 | 29.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.01 | 1.98 | 46.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 28/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Carrarese 1–1 Arezzo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Carrarese 15th (10 points), Arezzo 13th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Carrarese 2W 1D 5L (7:9), Arezzo 3W 1D 4L (8:17).
- H2H: 10 matches: Carrarese 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–16.
- Absences: Carrarese 0, Arezzo 0.
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Carrarese vs Arezzo: who is missing
Carrarese
- No reported absences
Arezzo
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Carrarese vs Arezzo: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Carrarese
Home and away
Carrarese vs Arezzo: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CarrareseLWLWWArezzoDLLWDCarrarese vs Arezzo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Carrarese vs Arezzo: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Our result tip is Carrarese or draw (1X) (odds 1.28), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Carrarese or draw (1X).
Who will win Carrarese vs Arezzo?
Our probabilities: Carrarese to win 44%, a draw 30%, Arezzo to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
28 October 2026, kick-off at 19:00, at Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara. Referee: Maco Di Loreto.
Who will be missing?
Carrarese: no absences. Arezzo: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.98); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.3%); after that come 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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