Bristol City v Norwich is on 7 November 2026 · 12:30 at Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Bristol City vs Norwich: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Bristol City are 14th with 18 points after 13 matches (5W 3D 5L), whereas Norwich are 15th with 15 points (5W 0D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Bristol City have scored 1.2 and conceded 1.3 goals per game on average in this competition; Norwich average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bristol City: 5W 3D 5L, goals 15–17; Norwich: 5W 0D 8L, goals 23–24.
- Head to head. In their 17 meetings so far, Bristol City have 4 wins, Norwich have 9 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–25.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and our probability for it is 66%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 17; Bristol City 4 wins, 4 draws, Norwich 9 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bristol City 15–17, Norwich 23–24.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Absent: Bristol City 0, Norwich 0.
Alternative tip: Bristol City or draw (1X)
Alternative pick: Bristol City or draw (1X) (probability 64%, best available odds 1.52). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Bristol City are missing: no absences. Norwich are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Bristol City vs Norwich: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.65 |
| Market average | 2.55 | 3.48 | 2.58 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 76.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.15 | 2.09 | 45.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.71 | 34.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.57 | 59.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.27 | 40.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 08:19. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bristol City 1–1 Norwich, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Bristol City 14th (18 points), Norwich 15th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Bristol City 5W 3D 5L (15:17), Norwich 5W 0D 8L (23:24).
- H2H: 17 matches: Bristol City 4W 4D 9L, goals 18–25.
- Absences: Bristol City 0, Norwich 0.
Who will win Bristol City vs Norwich?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Bristol City vs Norwich: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bristol City vs Norwich: who is missing
Bristol City
- No reported absences
Norwich
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Bristol City vs Norwich: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 30:17 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8-2-3 | 20:13 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 23:16 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-3-3 | 19:14 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8-3-2 | 28:13 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-5-2 | 23:13 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:16 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 33:18 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 21:16 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 17:15 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 16:15 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 23:21 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 19:20 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-3-5 | 15:17 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5-0-8 | 23:24 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4-3-6 | 14:23 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 19:20 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 15:19 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4-2-7 | 18:26 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-5-5 | 11:21 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-2-8 | 12:23 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1-6-6 | 17:25 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1-4-8 | 11:25 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1-2-10 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Bristol City
Home and away
Bristol City vs Norwich: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Bristol City vs Norwich: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bristol City vs Norwich: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Bristol City vs Norwich?
Our result tip is Bristol City or draw (1X) (odds 1.52), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47). The safer pick is Bristol City or draw (1X).
Who will win Bristol City vs Norwich?
Our probabilities: Bristol City to win 37%, a draw 27%, Norwich to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 12:30, at Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol.
Who will be missing?
Bristol City: no absences. Norwich: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 55% (odds 1.75); under 2.5 goals is at 45% (odds 2.15).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 1–2 (8.4%) and 2–1 (8.4%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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