Bet with MINO CASINO →Brighton v Brentford is on 8 November 2026 · 14:00 at Amex Stadium (Brighton). We think Brighton (49%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Brighton vs Brentford: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Brighton are 3rd with 19 points after 9 matches (6W 1D 2L), whereas Brentford are 6th with 14 points (3W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Brighton have scored 2.7 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Brentford average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Brighton: 6W 1D 2L, goals 24–7; Brentford: 3W 5D 1L, goals 16–9.
- Head to head. In their 19 meetings so far, Brighton have 8 wins, Brentford have 6 wins and 5 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 26–21.
What to expect
Brighton should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 19; Brighton 8 wins, 5 draws, Brentford 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Brighton 24–7, Brentford 16–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Brighton 0, Brentford 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.57). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Brighton are missing: no absences. Brentford are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Brighton vs Brentford: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.98 | 4.05 | 3.78 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.81 | 3.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.38 | 3.35 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.34 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:43. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Brighton 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Brighton 3rd (19 points), Brentford 6th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Brighton 6W 1D 2L (24:7), Brentford 3W 5D 1L (16:9).
- H2H: 19 matches: Brighton 8W 5D 6L, goals 26–21.
- Absences: Brighton 0, Brentford 0.
Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Brighton vs Brentford: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Brighton vs Brentford: who is missing
Brighton
- No reported absences
Brentford
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Brighton vs Brentford: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 7 |  Everton | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 8 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 |  Tottenham | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 |  Leeds | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Newcastle | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Coventry | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 |
| 17 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Brighton
Home and away
Brighton vs Brentford: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BrightonWLWWWBrentfordWDLDWBrighton vs Brentford: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Brighton vs Brentford: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Brighton vs Brentford?
Our result tip is Brighton to win (odds 1.98), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Brighton or draw (1X).
Who will win Brighton vs Brentford?
Our probabilities: Brighton to win 49%, a draw 25%, Brentford to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
8 November 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Amex Stadium, Brighton.
Who will be missing?
Brighton: no absences. Brentford: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.57).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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