Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hull City v Brentford is on 25 October 2026 · 14:00 at MKM Stadium (Hull); Robert Jones takes charge. We think Brentford (57%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Hull City vs Brentford: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 5.10 | 4.21 | 1.73 |
| Market average | 4.85 | 4.08 | 1.69 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.71 | 1.67 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.32 | 2.23 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.66 | 2.59 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.16 | 43.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 25/10/26, 13:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hull City 1–1 Brentford, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hull City 11th (11 points), Brentford 6th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Hull City 2W 3D 2L (8:7), Brentford 2W 4D 1L (13:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hull City 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–15.
- Absences: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Hull City vs Brentford: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hull City vs Brentford: who is missing
Hull City
- I. Ansahback injury · will miss the match
- J. Butlandabsence · will miss the match
- D. Gyabigroin injury · will miss the match
- C. Hughesgroin injury · will miss the match
- E. Matazoknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Mendygroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Targettankle injury · will miss the match
Brentford
- J. Dasilvamuscle injury · will miss the match
- K. Furoabsence · will miss the match
- V. Janeltred card · will miss the match
- A. Milamboknock · will miss the match
- Y. Yarmolyukred card · will miss the match
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brentford: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 8-0-1 | 14:5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20:10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24:7 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19:15 | 16 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 11:9 | 15 | |
| 6 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16:9 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3-4-2 | 9:9 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 14:13 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:10 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10:13 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 11:10 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 2-5-2 | 9:8 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12:15 | 11 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 14:18 | 11 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 9:11 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3-0-6 | 9:16 | 9 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10:15 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 2-1-6 | 9:21 | 7 | |
| 19 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 6:12 | 6 | |
| 20 | 9 | 1-2-6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Recent matches
Hull City
Home and away
Hull City vs Brentford: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Hull City are 11th with 11 points after 9 matches (2W 5D 2L), whereas Brentford are 6th with 14 points (3W 5D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Hull City have scored 1.1 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Brentford average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Hull City: 2W 3D 2L, goals 8–7; Brentford: 2W 4D 1L, goals 13–8.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Hull City have 4 wins, Brentford have 2 wins and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–15.
What to expect
Brentford should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Hull City 4 wins, 3 draws, Brentford 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Hull City 8–7, Brentford 13–8.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Absent: Hull City 7, Brentford 5.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best available odds 1.71). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Hull City are missing: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford are without: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Hull City vs Brentford: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
Hull City vs Brentford: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Hull City vs Brentford: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Hull City vs Brentford?
Our result tip is Brentford to win (odds 1.73), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51). The safer pick is Draw or Brentford (X2).
Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?
Our probabilities: Hull City to win 20%, a draw 23%, Brentford to win 57%.
What time and where is kick-off?
25 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at MKM Stadium, Hull. Referee: Robert Jones.
Who will be missing?
Hull City: I. Ansah, J. Butland, D. Gyabi, C. Hughes, E. Matazo, N. Mendy, M. Targett. Brentford: J. Dasilva, K. Furo, V. Janelt, A. Milambo, Y. Yarmolyuk. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 57% (odds 1.71); under 2.5 goals is at 43% (odds 2.32).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 57% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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