Bet with MINO CASINO →Benevento v Avellino is on 7 November 2026 · 18:30 at Stadio Ciro Vigorito (Benevento). We think Benevento (51%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Benevento vs Avellino: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Benevento are 6th with 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), whereas Avellino are 5th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Benevento have scored 1.4 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Avellino average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Benevento: 4W 3D 3L, goals 14–10; Avellino: 4W 3D 3L, goals 15–10.
- Head to head. In their 6 meetings so far, Benevento have 1 win, Avellino have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–8.
What to expect
Benevento should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 6; Benevento 1 win, 2 draws, Avellino 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.3 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Benevento 14–10, Avellino 15–10.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 50%.
- Absent: Benevento 0, Avellino 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Benevento are missing: no absences. Avellino are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Benevento vs Avellino: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.87 | 3.65 | 4.26 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.52 | 4.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.78 | 3.23 | 3.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.27 | 73.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.91 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.89 | 50.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.34 | 3.16 | 29.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.2% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Benevento 1–1 Avellino, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Benevento 6th (15 points), Avellino 5th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Benevento 4W 3D 3L (14:10), Avellino 4W 3D 3L (15:10).
- H2H: 6 matches: Benevento 1W 2D 3L, goals 6–8.
- Absences: Benevento 0, Avellino 0.
Who will win Benevento vs Avellino?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Benevento vs Avellino: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Benevento vs Avellino: who is missing
Benevento
- No reported absences
Avellino
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Benevento vs Avellino: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 |  Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Benevento
Home and away
Benevento vs Avellino: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
BeneventoLDWDWAvellinoWDLDWBenevento vs Avellino: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Benevento vs Avellino: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Benevento vs Avellino?
Benevento -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Benevento vs Avellino?
Our probabilities: Benevento to win 51%, a draw 26%, Avellino to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 18:30, at Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento.
Who will be missing?
Benevento: no absences. Avellino: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 50% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 50% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 1–0 (11.9%) and 2–1 (9.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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