Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cremonese are at home to Benevento on 31 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona), with Livio Marinelli as the referee. We see nothing to choose between them. Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Cremonese vs Benevento: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Cremonese are 11th with 12 points after 10 matches (3W 3D 4L), whereas Benevento are 6th with 15 points (4W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. Cremonese have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Benevento average 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Cremonese: 2W 3D 4L, goals 8–11; Benevento: 4W 3D 2L, goals 14–8.
- Head to head. In their 7 meetings so far, Cremonese have 2 wins, Benevento have 3 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 6–7.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 7; Cremonese 2 wins, 2 draws, Benevento 3 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.9 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Cremonese 8–11, Benevento 14–8.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 47%.
- Absent: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.80). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Cremonese are missing: no absences. Benevento are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Cremonese vs Benevento: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.85 | 3.25 | 2.74 |
| Market average | 2.69 | 3.12 | 2.61 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 2.90 | 2.45 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.30 | 71.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.80 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.02 | 46.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 07:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Cremonese 1–1 Benevento, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Cremonese 11th (12 points), Benevento 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Cremonese 2W 3D 4L (8:11), Benevento 4W 3D 2L (14:8).
- H2H: 7 matches: Cremonese 2W 2D 3L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Cremonese 0, Benevento 0.
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Cremonese vs Benevento: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Cremonese vs Benevento: who is missing
Cremonese
- No reported absences
Benevento
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Cremonese vs Benevento: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palermo | 10 | 8-2-0 | 24:12 | 26 |
| 2 |  Modena | 10 | 6-2-2 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ascoli | 10 | 5-4-1 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Mantova | 10 | 5-3-2 | 15:11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Avellino | 10 | 4-3-3 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4-3-3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Hellas Verona | 10 | 4-3-3 | 19:13 | 15 |
| 8 |  Pisa | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 9 |  Padova | 10 | 4-2-4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 10 |  Südtirol | 10 | 3-5-2 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3-3-4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 |  Cesena | 10 | 2-6-2 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 13 |  Arezzo | 10 | 3-2-5 | 9:19 | 11 |
| 14 |  Virtus Entella | 10 | 2-4-4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 15 |  Carrarese | 10 | 3-1-6 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 16 |  Juve Stabia | 10 | 3-4-3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 17 |  Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2-3-5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 18 |  Empoli | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 19 |  Sampdoria | 10 | 2-2-6 | 10:18 | 8 |
| 20 |  Catanzaro | 10 | 1-3-6 | 11:22 | 6 |
Recent matches
Cremonese
Home and away
Cremonese vs Benevento: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
CremoneseWWLLDBeneventoLDWDWCremonese vs Benevento: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Cremonese vs Benevento: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Cremonese vs Benevento?
Our result tip is Draw or Benevento (X2) (odds 1.47), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.80). The safer pick is Draw or Benevento (X2).
Who will win Cremonese vs Benevento?
Our probabilities: Cremonese to win 35%, a draw 30%, Benevento to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 14:00, at Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona. Referee: Livio Marinelli.
Who will be missing?
Cremonese: no absences. Benevento: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 47% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 53% (odds 1.83).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.80).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 0–1 (10.3%) and 1–0 (10.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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