Bet with MINO CASINO →Anderlecht are at home to Red Bull Salzburg on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Lotto Park (Brussels). Our favourites are Anderlecht (49%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Anderlecht are 22nd with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Red Bull Salzburg are 21st with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Anderlecht have scored 2.0 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Red Bull Salzburg average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Anderlecht: 6W 1D 2L, goals 18–7; Red Bull Salzburg: 4W 2D 1L, goals 11–9.
What to expect
Anderlecht should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.7%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Anderlecht 18–7, Red Bull Salzburg 11–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 59%.
- Absent: Anderlecht 5, Red Bull Salzburg 11.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.55). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Anderlecht are missing: I. Camara, L. Hey, I. Koutsoupias, K. Sardella, M. Winkler. Red Bull Salzburg are without: E. Aguilar, A. Chase, S. Kitano, F. Matijasevic, J. Mellberg, J. Moser, J. Omoregie, D. Redzic, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, J. Lindstrom. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.82 |
| Market average | 1.91 | 3.79 | 3.63 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.39 | 3.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 80.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.60 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.33 | 40.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.40 | 38.9% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 03:31. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Anderlecht 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Anderlecht 22nd (3 points), Red Bull Salzburg 21st (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Anderlecht 6W 1D 2L (18:7), Red Bull Salzburg 4W 2D 1L (11:9).
- Absences: Anderlecht 5, Red Bull Salzburg 11.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: who is missing
Anderlecht
- I. Camarafoot injury · will miss the match
- L. Heybroken leg · will miss the match
- I. Koutsoupiasnot in the squad · will miss the match
- K. Sardellanot in the squad · will miss the match
- M. Winklernot in the squad · doubtful
Red Bull Salzburg
- E. Aguilarmuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Chasenot in the squad · will miss the match
- S. Kitanonot in the squad · will miss the match
- F. Matijasevicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Mellberginjury · will miss the match
- J. Mosernot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. OmoregieAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- D. Redzicnot in the squad · will miss the match
- D. Schmidnot in the squad · will miss the match
- N. Veratschnigknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Lindstromnot in the squad · doubtful
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Anderlecht
Home and away
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
AnderlechtWLLRed Bull SalzburgDLWReturns calculator
Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our result tip is Anderlecht to win (odds 1.98), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Anderlecht or draw (1X).
Who will win Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our probabilities: Anderlecht to win 49%, a draw 25%, Red Bull Salzburg to win 26%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 17:45, at Lotto Park, Brussels.
Who will be missing?
Anderlecht: I. Camara, L. Hey, I. Koutsoupias, K. Sardella, M. Winkler. Red Bull Salzburg: E. Aguilar, A. Chase, S. Kitano, F. Matijasevic, J. Mellberg, J. Moser, J. Omoregie, D. Redzic, D. Schmid, N. Veratschnig, J. Lindstrom. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 59% (odds 1.64); under 2.5 goals is at 41% (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.55).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.7%); after that come 2–1 (9.6%) and 1–0 (8.5%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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