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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: tip, odds and prediction – 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Jagiellonia3.12
XDraw3.67
2Anderlecht2.37

Best available odds · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Jagiellonia meet Anderlecht on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku (Białystok), refereed by Ondřej Berka. We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Anderlecht (X2)
1.42
Goals
Both teams to score
1.62
68%chance of the result
58%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds3.123.672.37
Market average3.003.522.28
Lowest odds2.903.362.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2276.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.791.7654.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.122.0845.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8233.4%
BTTS – yes1.621.6058.3%
BTTS – no2.302.2441.7%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Jagiellonia 1–1 Anderlecht, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Jagiellonia 27th (3 points), Anderlecht 22nd (3 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Jagiellonia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
  • Absences: Jagiellonia 0, Anderlecht 0.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Jagiellonia32%
Draw27%
Anderlecht42%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Anderlecht (X2)68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Both sides to score: yes58.3% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.79
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.12
Outsider
Both sides to score: no41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.30
Outsider
Anderlecht to win41.5% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.37
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.4% · fair odds 3.00 · best 3.00
Outsider
Jagiellonia to win31.6% · fair odds 3.17 · best 3.12
Outsider
Draw26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.67
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.87
probability of over 49.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.03 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.1%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 07.9%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 26.8%

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: who is missing

Jagiellonia

  • No reported absences

Anderlecht

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Jagiellonia

22 OctLJagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht
15 OctWJagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia
16 SeptLOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia
27 AugWFC Iberia 1999 1–2 Jagiellonia
20 AugWJagiellonia 4–0 FC Iberia 1999

Anderlecht

31 OctWAnderlecht 4–1 KVC Westerlo
25 OctLGent 4–0 Anderlecht
22 OctWJagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht
15 OctLDinamo Zagreb 1–0 Anderlecht
10 OctWCercle Brugge 1–2 Anderlecht

Home and away

Jagiellonia at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–4
Anderlecht away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–1

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Jagiellonia are 27th with 3 points after 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), whereas Anderlecht are 22nd with 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Jagiellonia have 0 wins, Anderlecht have 1 win and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 0–3.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.62), and our probability for it is 58%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 1; Jagiellonia 0 wins, 0 draws, Anderlecht 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
  4. Absent: Jagiellonia 0, Anderlecht 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 58%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Jagiellonia are missing: no absences. Anderlecht are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: head to head

All matches
0Jagiellonia
0Draws
1Anderlecht
22/10/26 · Jagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Our result tip is Draw or Anderlecht (X2) (odds 1.42), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.62). The safer pick is Draw or Anderlecht (X2).

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht?

Our probabilities: Jagiellonia to win 32%, a draw 27%, Anderlecht to win 42%.

What time and where is kick-off?

22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku, Białystok. Referee: Ondřej Berka.

Who will be missing?

Jagiellonia: no absences. Anderlecht: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.12).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.62).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.9%); after that come 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.