Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Celje are at home to Red Bull Salzburg on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Z’dežele (Celje), with John Brooks as the referee. Our favourites are Red Bull Salzburg (63%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 6.25 | 4.85 | 1.54 |
| Market average | 5.90 | 4.57 | 1.51 |
| Lowest odds | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.47 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.50 | 62.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.52 | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.26 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.61 | 57.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.21 | 42.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Celje 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Celje 29th (1 point), Red Bull Salzburg 21st (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Celje 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: who is missing
Celje
- No reported absences
Red Bull Salzburg
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3-0-0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvárosi TC | 3 | 3-0-0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3-0-0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2-1-0 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2-1-0 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2-1-0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2-0-1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1-2-0 | 4:3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1-1-1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1-1-1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 21 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1-1-1 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Celje | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrøm | 3 | 0-1-2 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznań | 3 | 0-1-2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzeň | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:7 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0-0-3 | 3:9 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Recent matches
Celje
Home and away
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Celje are 29th with 1 point after 3 matches (0W 1D 2L), whereas Red Bull Salzburg are 21st with 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. In their 1 meetings so far, Celje have 0 wins, Red Bull Salzburg have 0 wins and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 2–2.
What to expect
Red Bull Salzburg should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 1–2, about 3 goals combined, and 1–2 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 1; Celje 0 wins, 1 draw, Red Bull Salzburg 0 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 4.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.67). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Celje are missing: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: head to head
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Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our result tip is Red Bull Salzburg to win (odds 1.54), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52). The safer pick is Draw or Red Bull Salzburg (X2).
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our probabilities: Celje to win 16%, a draw 21%, Red Bull Salzburg to win 63%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 October 2026, kick-off at 20:00, at Stadion Z’dežele, Celje. Referee: John Brooks.
Who will be missing?
Celje: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.52); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 58% probability (odds 1.67).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–2 (9.9%); after that come 0–2 (9.4%) and 1–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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