Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Eibar v Almería is on 31 October 2026 · 15:15 at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar); D. Miranda takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Eibar vs Almería: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Eibar are 3rd with 23 points after 12 matches (7W 2D 3L), whereas Almería are 2nd with 26 points (8W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Eibar have scored 1.8 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Almería average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Eibar: 7W 1D 3L, goals 20–13; Almería: 8W 1D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Head to head. In their 9 meetings so far, Eibar have 5 wins, Almería have 2 wins and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–10.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 9; Eibar 5 wins, 2 draws, Almería 2 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.7 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Eibar 20–13, Almería 22–9.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Absent: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 62%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Eibar are missing: no absences. Almería are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Eibar vs Almería: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.54 | 3.65 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.48 | 2.67 |
| Lowest odds | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.18 | 79.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.65 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.52 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 61.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.3% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 13:56. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Eibar 1–1 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Eibar 3rd (23 points), Almería 2nd (26 points).
- Form in the competition: Eibar 7W 1D 3L (20:13), Almería 8W 1D 2L (22:9).
- H2H: 9 matches: Eibar 5W 2D 2L, goals 14–10.
- Absences: Eibar 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Eibar vs Almería: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Eibar vs Almería: who is missing
Eibar
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Eibar vs Almería: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 | Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Eibar
Home and away
Eibar vs Almería: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
EibarDLDLWAlmeríaDDWWWEibar vs Almería: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Eibar vs Almería: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Eibar vs Almería?
Our result tip is Eibar or draw (1X) (odds 1.48), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55). The safer pick is Eibar or draw (1X).
Who will win Eibar vs Almería?
Our probabilities: Eibar to win 38%, a draw 27%, Almería to win 35%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 15:15, at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua, Eibar. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
Eibar: no absences. Almería: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.80); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 62% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.4%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.3%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.