Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Kristiansund BK v Aalesund is on 17 October 2026 · 15:00 at Kristiansund Stadion (Kristiansand); Mischa Kellerhals, Norway takes charge. We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.53 | 3.86 | 2.64 |
| Market average | 2.43 | 3.69 | 2.57 |
| Lowest odds | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.38 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.31 | 40.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.63 | 2.56 | 36.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 17/10/26, 12:15. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Kristiansund BK 1–1 Aalesund, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Kristiansund BK 15th (23 points), Aalesund 14th (24 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Kristiansund BK 5W 4D 6L, goals 23–23.
- Absences: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: who is missing
Kristiansund BK
- No reported absences
Aalesund
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19-2-4 | 64:26 | 59 |
| 2 |  Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19-2-4 | 61:23 | 59 |
| 3 |  Molde | 25 | 13-4-8 | 59:39 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 25 | 13-4-8 | 49:31 | 43 |
| 5 |  Lillestrøm | 25 | 13-3-9 | 36:33 | 42 |
| 6 |  Tromsø | 25 | 11-7-7 | 43:38 | 40 |
| 7 |  Brann | 25 | 10-2-13 | 45:42 | 32 |
| 8 |  Vålerenga | 25 | 9-5-11 | 43:46 | 32 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8-7-10 | 32:41 | 31 |
| 11 |  Fredrikstad | 25 | 8-5-12 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 25 | 7-6-12 | 26:34 | 27 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 25 | 7-6-12 | 35:53 | 27 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 25 | 5-9-11 | 43:57 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6-5-14 | 29:51 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5-4-16 | 26:55 | 19 |
Recent matches
Kristiansund BK
Home and away
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Kristiansund BK are 15th with 23 points after 25 matches (6W 5D 14L), whereas Aalesund are 14th with 24 points (5W 9D 11L).
- Head to head. In their 15 meetings so far, Kristiansund BK have 5 wins, Aalesund have 6 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–23.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 2–2, about 4 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 15; Kristiansund BK 5 wins, 4 draws, Aalesund 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.1 goals.
- We are expecting about 4 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Absent: Kristiansund BK 0, Aalesund 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 64%, best available odds 1.50). Our projection of about 4 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Kristiansund BK are missing: no absences. Aalesund are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: head to head
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Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Our result tip is Kristiansund BK or draw (1X) (odds 1.50), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.50). The safer pick is Kristiansund BK or draw (1X).
Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?
Our probabilities: Kristiansund BK to win 38%, a draw 25%, Aalesund to win 36%.
What time and where is kick-off?
17 October 2026, kick-off at 15:00, at Kristiansund Stadion, Kristiansand. Referee: Mischa Kellerhals, Norway.
Who will be missing?
Kristiansund BK: no absences. Aalesund: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 64% probability (odds 1.50).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.6%); after that come 2–1 (8.5%) and 1–2 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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