Bet with MINO CASINO →Werder Bremen v Hamburger SV is on 22 November 2026 · 16:30 at Weserstadion (Bremen). We think Werder Bremen (55%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Werder Bremen are 5th with 15 points after 8 matches (4W 3D 1L), whereas Hamburger SV are 15th with 9 points (3W 0D 5L).
What to expect
Werder Bremen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.51), and our probability for it is 63%. We estimate both teams scoring at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Prediction: key points
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Absent: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 61%, best available odds 1.53). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Werder Bremen are missing: no absences. Hamburger SV are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Lowest odds | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.13 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.51 | 1.51 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.62 | 2.57 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.34 | 41.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.53 | 60.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 1/11/26, 17:11. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Werder Bremen 2–1 Hamburger SV, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Werder Bremen 5th (15 points), Hamburger SV 15th (9 points).
- Absences: Werder Bremen 0, Hamburger SV 0.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: who is missing
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Hamburger SV
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5-3-0 | 27:8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5-3-0 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5-1-2 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 8 | 5-0-3 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4-3-1 | 17:14 | 15 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4-1-3 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4-1-3 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3-2-3 | 13:18 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3-1-4 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 10 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2-3-3 | 18:15 | 9 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 12 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3-0-5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2-3-3 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 14 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3-0-5 | 7:19 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 8 | 1-4-3 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1-3-4 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1-1-6 | 11:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Werder Bremen
Home and away
Returns calculator
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
Under 3.5 goals (1.69); Werder Bremen to win (1.67).
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV?
Our probabilities: Werder Bremen to win 55%, a draw 23%, Hamburger SV to win 21%.
What time and where is kick-off?
22 November 2026, kick-off at 16:30, at Weserstadion, Bremen.
Who will be missing?
Werder Bremen: no absences. Hamburger SV: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 63% (odds 1.51); under 2.5 goals is at 37% (odds 2.62).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 61% probability (odds 1.53).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.8%); after that come 1–1 (9.8%) and 2–0 (8.2%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.