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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 33 · 19 October 2026 · 19:45

Waterford vs Galway United: tip, odds and prediction – 19 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

3–2
1Waterford1.86
XDraw4.70
2Galway United4.77

Best available odds · Updated 19/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Waterford are at home to Galway United on 19 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), with O. Moran as the referee. Our favourites are Waterford (57%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.

Waterford vs Galway United: tip and prediction
Result
Waterford to win
1.86
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.57
Combo
Waterford plus over 2.5 goals
2.51
40% · combo fair price
57%chance of the result
61%chance for the goals tip
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Waterford or draw (1X) – 80% probability, top odds 1.25.

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Waterford vs Galway United: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.864.704.77
Market average1.624.214.56
Lowest odds1.573.433.31
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1481.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.571.5161.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.3938.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.402.3240.2%
BTTS – yes1.601.5758.8%
BTTS – no2.282.2541.2%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 19/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Waterford 2–1 Galway United, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Galway United 8th (42 points).
  • H2H: 22 matches: Waterford 6W 6D 10L, goals 28–30.
  • Absences: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.

Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?

Waterford57%
Draw22%
Galway United20%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Waterford vs Galway United: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals81.1% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Waterford or draw (1X)79.5% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.2% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.57
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.8% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Possible
Both sides to score: yes58.8% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.60
Possible
Waterford to win57.4% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.86
Possible
Both sides to score: no41.2% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.28
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.2% · fair odds 2.49 · best 2.40
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.8% · fair odds 2.58 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw22.1% · fair odds 4.52 · best 4.70
Outsider
Galway United to win20.5% · fair odds 4.88 · best 4.77
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.4%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.9%
2 : 08.6%
1 : 08.6%
3 : 16.6%
3 : 05.7%

Waterford vs Galway United: who is missing

Waterford

  • No reported absences

Galway United

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Waterford vs Galway United: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Waterford

30 OctWShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWWaterford 3–1 Drogheda United
19 OctWWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctLBohemians 2–1 Waterford
18 SeptLShamrock Rovers 3–2 Waterford

Galway United

30 OctLDrogheda United 2–0 Galway United
23 OctDGalway United 0–0 St Patrick's Athl.
19 OctLWaterford 3–2 Galway United
16 OctWGalway United 2–0 Shamrock Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Home and away

Waterford at home18 matches: 6W 9D 3L, goals 28–22
Galway United away18 matches: 4W 5D 9L, goals 21–28

Waterford vs Galway United: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Waterford are 7th with 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L), whereas Galway United are 8th with 42 points (10W 12D 14L).
  2. Head to head. In their 22 meetings so far, Waterford have 6 wins, Galway United have 10 wins and 6 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 28–30.

What to expect

Waterford should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 2–1 (9.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and our probability for it is 61%. We estimate both teams scoring at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 22; Waterford 6 wins, 6 draws, Galway United 10 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 61%.
  4. Absent: Waterford 0, Galway United 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative pick: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best available odds 1.62). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Waterford are missing: no absences. Galway United are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Waterford vs Galway United: head to head

All matches
6Waterford
6Draws
10Galway United
19/10/26 · Waterford 3–2 Galway United
25/7/26 · Galway United 0–0 Waterford
24/4/26 · Waterford 1–1 Galway United
16/3/26 · Galway United 4–3 Waterford
1/11/25 · Waterford 1–1 Galway United
25/7/25 · Galway United 2–4 Waterford

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Waterford vs Galway United: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Waterford vs Galway United?

Our result tip is Waterford to win (odds 1.86), and our goals tip is Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57). The safer pick is Waterford or draw (1X).

Who will win Waterford vs Galway United?

Our probabilities: Waterford to win 57%, a draw 22%, Galway United to win 20%.

What time and where is kick-off?

19 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: O. Moran.

Who will be missing?

Waterford: no absences. Galway United: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 61% (odds 1.57); under 2.5 goals is at 39% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 59% probability (odds 1.60).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 2–1 (9.9%); after that come 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

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