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League of Ireland Premier Division · final · 7 November 2026 · 17:30

Drogheda United vs UCD: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

1Drogheda United1.75
XDraw4.21
2UCD4.75

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Drogheda United v UCD is on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at Tallaght Stadium (Dublin). We think Drogheda United (56%) are favourites. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Drogheda United vs UCD: tip and prediction
Result
Drogheda United to win
1.75
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Drogheda United plus over 2.5 goals
2.66
38% · combo fair price
56%chance of the result
64%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Drogheda United or draw (1X) – 79% probability, top odds 1.22.

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Drogheda United vs UCD: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Head to head. In their 11 meetings so far, Drogheda United have 8 wins, UCD have 1 win and 2 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 27–10.

What to expect

Drogheda United should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.

Our tip for goals is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and our probability for it is 64%. We estimate both teams scoring at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 58%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 11; Drogheda United 8 wins, 2 draws, UCD 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.4 goals.
  3. We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 58%.
  4. Absent: Drogheda United 0, UCD 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative pick: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best available odds 1.66). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Drogheda United are missing: no absences. UCD are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Drogheda United vs UCD: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds1.754.214.75
Market average1.653.964.42
Lowest odds1.603.604.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1778.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.6457.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.252.2242.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.612.5336.3%
BTTS – yes1.651.6456.4%
BTTS – no2.152.1343.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 8.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Drogheda United 1–1 UCD, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 11 matches: Drogheda United 8W 2D 1L, goals 27–10.
  • Absences: Drogheda United 0, UCD 0.

Who will win Drogheda United vs UCD?

Drogheda United56%
Draw23%
UCD21%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Drogheda United vs UCD: more markets and betting tips

Drogheda United or draw (1X)79.1% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.7% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.66
Possible
Both sides to score: yes56.4% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.65
Possible
Drogheda United to win55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.75
Possible
Both sides to score: no43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.15
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.3% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.61
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.21
Outsider
UCD to win20.9% · fair odds 4.78 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.4%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.5%
2 : 09.0%
3 : 16.3%
1 : 25.7%

Drogheda United vs UCD: who is missing

Drogheda United

  • No reported absences

UCD

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Drogheda United vs UCD: team stats compared

Drogheda UnitedUCD
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
0%Defence100%
93%Head to head7%
79%Goals21%
86.0%Overall14.0%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

Drogheda UnitedWLWLL
UCD

Drogheda United vs UCD: head to head

All matches
8Drogheda United
2Draws
1UCD
20/1/26 · Drogheda United 1–1 UCD
1/9/23 · Drogheda United 3–0 UCD
14/7/23 · UCD 1–3 Drogheda United
26/5/23 · Drogheda United 3–1 UCD
10/3/23 · UCD 0–1 Drogheda United
21/10/22 · UCD 2–1 Drogheda United

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

Drogheda United vs UCD: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Drogheda United vs UCD?

Our result tip is Drogheda United to win (odds 1.75), and our goals tip is Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48). The safer pick is Drogheda United or draw (1X).

Who will win Drogheda United vs UCD?

Our probabilities: Drogheda United to win 56%, a draw 23%, UCD to win 21%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 17:30, at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin.

Who will be missing?

Drogheda United: no absences. UCD: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 58% (odds 1.66); under 2.5 goals is at 42% (odds 2.25).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 56% probability (odds 1.65).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.4%); after that come 2–1 (9.9%) and 1–0 (9.5%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.