Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Waterford are at home to Drogheda United on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Regional Sports Centre (Waterford), with R. Hennessy as the referee. Our favourites are Waterford (55%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Waterford are 7th with 43 points after 36 matches (10W 13D 13L), whereas Drogheda United are 9th with 40 points (10W 10D 16L).
- Head to head. In their 16 meetings so far, Waterford have 7 wins, Drogheda United have 5 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 23–25.
What to expect
Waterford should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (10.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think this will be an open match with plenty of goals.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 16; Waterford 7 wins, 4 draws, Drogheda United 5 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 3.0 goals.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Absent: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 54%, best available odds 1.75). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Waterford are missing: no absences. Drogheda United are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.87 | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| Market average | 1.68 | 3.79 | 4.65 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.19 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.21 | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.03 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.80 | 33.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.02 | 46.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 7.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Waterford 1–1 Drogheda United, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Waterford 7th (43 points), Drogheda United 9th (40 points).
- H2H: 16 matches: Waterford 7W 4D 5L, goals 23–25.
- Absences: Waterford 0, Drogheda United 0.
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Waterford vs Drogheda United: who is missing
Waterford
- No reported absences
Drogheda United
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Waterford vs Drogheda United: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 | Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
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Waterford vs Drogheda United: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Waterford -0.75 (Asian handicap) (2.13); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Waterford vs Drogheda United?
Our probabilities: Waterford to win 55%, a draw 25%, Drogheda United to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
23 October 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Regional Sports Centre, Waterford. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
Waterford: no absences. Drogheda United: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 54% (odds 1.79); under 2.5 goals is at 46% (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 54% probability (odds 1.75).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (10.9%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
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