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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 13:45

Villefranche vs Quevilly: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Ligue 3

1Villefranche2.48
XDraw3.42
2Quevilly3.00

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Villefranche v Quevilly is on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Armand Chouffet (Villefranche-sur-Saône). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Villefranche vs Quevilly: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Villefranche or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
67%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Villefranche vs Quevilly: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Villefranche are 16th with 8 points after 11 matches (2W 2D 7L), whereas Quevilly are 13th with 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Villefranche have scored 0.9 and conceded 2.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Quevilly average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Villefranche: 2W 2D 7L, goals 10–24; Quevilly: 3W 4D 4L, goals 11–16.
  4. Head to head. In their 12 meetings so far, Villefranche have 7 wins, Quevilly have 5 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 14–11.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.8%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Here is a twist: the table suggests the Quevilly are stronger, but the betting market gives the home side a slightly better chance. With the signs pulling in different directions the match is tough to call, and a more cautious bet is sensible.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 12; Villefranche 7 wins, 0 draws, Quevilly 5 wins.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.1 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Villefranche 10–24, Quevilly 11–16.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Absent: Villefranche 0, Quevilly 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 51%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Villefranche are missing: no absences. Quevilly are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Villefranche vs Quevilly: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.483.423.00
Market average2.333.262.76
Lowest odds2.103.102.62
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.3269.9%
Over 2.5 goals2.082.0345.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.7254.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.693.5226.2%
BTTS – yes1.911.8050.9%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.1%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Villefranche 1–1 Quevilly, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Villefranche 16th (8 points), Quevilly 13th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: Villefranche 2W 2D 7L (10:24), Quevilly 3W 4D 4L (11:16).
  • H2H: 12 matches: Villefranche 7W 0D 5L, goals 14–11.
  • Absences: Villefranche 0, Quevilly 0.

Who will win Villefranche vs Quevilly?

Villefranche39%
Draw28%
Quevilly33%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Villefranche vs Quevilly: more markets and betting tips

Under 3.5 goals73.8% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.33
Likely
Villefranche or draw (1X)67.0% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.75
Possible
Both sides to score: yes50.9% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.91
Possible
Both sides to score: no49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.08
Outsider
Villefranche to win39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.48
Outsider
Quevilly to win33.0% · fair odds 3.03 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw27.9% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 3.69
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.8%
1 : 010.7%
0 : 19.9%
2 : 18.3%
0 : 08.2%
1 : 27.7%

Villefranche vs Quevilly: who is missing

Villefranche

  • No reported absences

Quevilly

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Villefranche vs Quevilly: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Villefranche

31 OctDOrléans 1–1 Villefranche
17 OctWVillefranche 2–1 Cannes
3 OctLAmiens 3–0 Villefranche
26 SeptLVillefranche 1–2 Versailles
19 SeptLLe Puy Foot 4–1 Villefranche

Quevilly

31 OctLBastia 2–0 Quevilly
17 OctWQuevilly 3–2 Orléans
3 OctLCannes 3–1 Quevilly
26 SeptDQuevilly 1–1 Amiens
19 SeptDVersailles 0–0 Quevilly

Home and away

Villefranche at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 5–5
Quevilly away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 2–10

Villefranche vs Quevilly: team stats compared

VillefrancheQuevilly
44%Form56%
50%Attack50%
42%Defence58%
60%Head to head40%
50%Goals50%
54.2%Overall45.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

VillefrancheDWLLL
QuevillyLWLDD

Villefranche vs Quevilly: head to head

All matches
7Villefranche
0Draws
5Quevilly
30/1/26 · Quevilly 1–2 Villefranche
22/8/25 · Villefranche 2–1 Quevilly
9/5/25 · Villefranche 0–1 Quevilly
19/1/25 · Quevilly 0–1 Villefranche
29/5/22 · Quevilly 2–0 Villefranche
24/5/22 · Villefranche 1–3 Quevilly

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.0%

Villefranche vs Quevilly: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Villefranche vs Quevilly?

Our result tip is Villefranche or draw (1X) (odds 1.40), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Villefranche or draw (1X).

Who will win Villefranche vs Quevilly?

Our probabilities: Villefranche to win 39%, a draw 28%, Quevilly to win 33%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Armand Chouffet, Villefranche-sur-Saône.

Who will be missing?

Villefranche: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 51% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.8%); after that come 1–0 (10.7%) and 0–1 (9.9%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovRouen vs Bastia 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.