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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 12 · 7 November 2026 · 13:45

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: tip, odds and prediction – 7 November 2026, Ligue 3

1Concarneau2.19
XDraw3.36
2Fleury 913.26

Best available odds · Updated 3/11/26, 02:30

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Concarneau v Fleury 91 is on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau). We think it is an even game. Below are the tip, the probability of each result, the absences and a look at the match.

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: tip and prediction
Goals
Both teams to score
1.91
Result (even match)
Concarneau or draw (1X)
1.30
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Concarneau vs Fleury 91: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Concarneau are 7th with 17 points after 11 matches (4W 5D 2L), whereas Fleury 91 are 9th with 16 points (4W 4D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Concarneau have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.0 goals per game on average in this competition; Fleury 91 average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Concarneau: 4W 5D 2L, goals 14–11; Fleury 91: 4W 4D 3L, goals 17–13.
  4. Head to head. In their 4 meetings so far, Concarneau have 2 wins, Fleury 91 have 1 win and 1 draw have been recorded; the goals stand at 7–3.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.91), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 4; Concarneau 2 wins, 1 draw, Fleury 91 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.5 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Concarneau 14–11, Fleury 91 17–13.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
  5. Absent: Concarneau 0, Fleury 91 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Concarneau are missing: no absences. Fleury 91 are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.193.363.26
Market average2.143.203.13
Lowest odds2.103.003.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.2971.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.051.9448.1%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.7951.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2228.6%
BTTS – yes1.911.7652.4%
BTTS – no2.001.9347.6%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Concarneau 1–1 Fleury 91, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Concarneau 7th (17 points), Fleury 91 9th (16 points).
  • Form in the competition: Concarneau 4W 5D 2L (14:11), Fleury 91 4W 4D 3L (17:13).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Concarneau 2W 1D 1L, goals 7–3.
  • Absences: Concarneau 0, Fleury 91 0.

Who will win Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

Concarneau42%
Draw28%
Fleury 9129%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: more markets and betting tips

Over 1.5 goals71.5% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.31
Likely
Concarneau or draw (1X)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.30
Likely
Both sides to score: yes52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.9% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.1% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both sides to score: no47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Concarneau to win42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.19
Outsider
Fleury 91 to win29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.26
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw28.5% · fair odds 3.51 · best 3.36
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.6%
1 : 010.9%
0 : 19.0%
2 : 18.8%
0 : 07.8%
2 : 07.7%

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: who is missing

Concarneau

  • No reported absences

Fleury 91

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Concarneau

31 OctLRouen 2–1 Concarneau
17 OctDConcarneau 1–1 Bastia
3 OctWConcarneau 2–1 Gobelins
26 SeptDBourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Concarneau
19 SeptWConcarneau 2–0 Caen

Fleury 91

31 OctDFleury 91 1–1 Gobelins
17 OctWBourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91
3 OctWFleury 91 3–2 Caen
26 SeptLFleury 91 1–2 Aubagne
19 SeptDFleury 91 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos

Home and away

Concarneau at home6 matches: 3W 2D 1L, goals 9–6
Fleury 91 away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–4

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: team stats compared

ConcarneauFleury 91
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
55%Defence45%
64%Head to head36%
70%Goals30%
56.2%Overall43.8%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

ConcarneauLDWDW
Fleury 91DWWLD

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: head to head

All matches
2Concarneau
1Draws
1Fleury 91
27/2/26 · Fleury 91 0–4 Concarneau
19/9/25 · Concarneau 0–1 Fleury 91
28/5/16 · Fleury 91 0–0 Concarneau
9/1/16 · Concarneau 3–2 Fleury 91

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.1%

Concarneau vs Fleury 91: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

Both teams to score (1.91); Concarneau or draw (1X) (1.30).

Who will win Concarneau vs Fleury 91?

Our probabilities: Concarneau to win 42%, a draw 28%, Fleury 91 to win 29%.

What time and where is kick-off?

7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau.

Who will be missing?

Concarneau: no absences. Fleury 91: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.05); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.85).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.91).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.6%); after that come 1–0 (10.9%) and 0–1 (9.0%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 NovRouen vs Bastia 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.