Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Orléans are at home to Villefranche on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade de la Source (Orléans). Our favourites are Orléans (51%). Further down: our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and our analysis of the match.
Orléans vs Villefranche: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Orléans are 14th with 10 points after 11 matches (2W 4D 5L), whereas Villefranche are 16th with 8 points (2W 2D 7L).
- Attack and defence. Orléans have scored 0.9 and conceded 1.4 goals per game on average in this competition; Villefranche average 0.9 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Orléans: 2W 3D 5L, goals 9–14; Villefranche: 2W 1D 7L, goals 9–23.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Orléans have 3 wins, Villefranche have 6 wins and 4 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 11–17.
What to expect
Orléans should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–1 (11.6%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Orléans 3 wins, 4 draws, Villefranche 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Orléans 9–14, Villefranche 9–23.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 51%.
- Absent: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 52%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Orléans are missing: no absences. Villefranche are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Orléans vs Villefranche: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.85 | 3.72 | 4.26 |
| Market average | 1.78 | 3.49 | 3.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.73 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.26 | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.88 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.20 | 3.07 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.76 | 52.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.93 | 47.6% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 9.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Orléans 1–1 Villefranche, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Orléans 14th (10 points), Villefranche 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Orléans 2W 3D 5L (9:14), Villefranche 2W 1D 7L (9:23).
- H2H: 13 matches: Orléans 3W 4D 6L, goals 11–17.
- Absences: Orléans 0, Villefranche 0.
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Orléans vs Villefranche: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Orléans vs Villefranche: who is missing
Orléans
- No reported absences
Villefranche
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Orléans vs Villefranche: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Orléans
Home and away
Orléans vs Villefranche: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
OrléansDLDDLVillefrancheDWLLLOrléans vs Villefranche: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Orléans vs Villefranche: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Orléans vs Villefranche?
Our result tip is Orléans to win (odds 1.85), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Orléans or draw (1X).
Who will win Orléans vs Villefranche?
Our probabilities: Orléans to win 51%, a draw 26%, Villefranche to win 23%.
What time and where is kick-off?
31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade de la Source, Orléans.
Who will be missing?
Orléans: no absences. Villefranche: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 51% (odds 1.88); under 2.5 goals is at 49% (odds 1.95).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 52% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (11.6%); after that come 1–0 (11.1%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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