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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Bastia vs Quevilly: tip, odds and prediction – 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

WDDLD
2–0
1Bastia2.00
XDraw3.45
2Quevilly3.99

Best available odds · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bastia meet Quevilly on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia). Bastia (47%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.

Bastia vs Quevilly: tip and prediction
Result
Bastia to win
2.00
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
47%chance of the result
54%chance for the goals tip
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bastia or draw (1X) – 75% probability, top odds 1.29.

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Bastia vs Quevilly: the odds compared

Match result1X2
Best available odds2.003.453.99
Market average1.933.283.58
Lowest odds1.863.003.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3369.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.112.0445.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.7154.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.903.5725.9%
BTTS – yes2.001.8549.6%
BTTS – no1.911.8350.4%

Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 31/10/26, 10:09. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bastia 1–1 Quevilly, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Bastia 11th (15 points), Quevilly 13th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bastia 3W 3D 4L (8:12), Quevilly 3W 4D 3L (11:14).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Bastia 6W 3D 1L, goals 13–5.
  • Absences: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.

Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?

Bastia47%
Draw28%
Quevilly25%

We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.

Bastia vs Quevilly: more markets and betting tips

Bastia or draw (1X)74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Both sides to score: no50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
Possible
Both sides to score: yes49.6% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.00
Outsider
Bastia to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.11
Outsider
Draw27.7% · fair odds 3.61 · best 3.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.9% · fair odds 3.86 · best 3.90
Outsider
Quevilly to win25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 012.5%
2 : 19.1%
2 : 09.1%
0 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%

Bastia vs Quevilly: who is missing

Bastia

  • No reported absences

Quevilly

  • No reported absences

This list may be updated before kick-off.

Bastia vs Quevilly: table positions and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Bastia

31 OctWBastia 2–0 Quevilly
17 OctDConcarneau 1–1 Bastia
1 OctDBastia 1–1 Orléans
26 SeptLGobelins 1–0 Bastia
17 SeptDBastia 1–1 Cannes

Quevilly

31 OctLBastia 2–0 Quevilly
17 OctWQuevilly 3–2 Orléans
3 OctLCannes 3–1 Quevilly
26 SeptDQuevilly 1–1 Amiens
19 SeptDVersailles 0–0 Quevilly

Home and away

Bastia at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 6–10
Quevilly away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 2–10

Bastia vs Quevilly: match preview and analysis

How we arrived at this tip

  1. Table. In the table, Bastia are 11th with 15 points after 11 matches (4W 3D 4L), whereas Quevilly are 13th with 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Bastia have scored 0.8 and conceded 1.2 goals per game on average in this competition; Quevilly average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bastia: 3W 3D 4L, goals 8–12; Quevilly: 3W 4D 3L, goals 11–14.
  4. Head to head. In their 10 meetings so far, Bastia have 6 wins, Quevilly have 1 win and 3 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 13–5.

What to expect

We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.5%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.

Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and our probability for it is 54%. We estimate both teams scoring at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.

Prediction: key points

  1. Meetings: 10; Bastia 6 wins, 3 draws, Quevilly 1 win.
  2. Meetings between these sides have averaged 1.8 goals.
  3. Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Bastia 8–12, Quevilly 11–14.
  4. We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Absent: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.

Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no

Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 50%, best available odds 1.91). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.

Absences

Bastia are missing: no absences. Quevilly are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.

Bastia vs Quevilly: team stats compared

BastiaQuevilly
43%Form57%
36%Attack64%
64%Defence36%
62%Head to head38%
71%Goals29%
55.3%Overall44.7%

These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.

Form in the competition

BastiaWDDLD
QuevillyLWLDD

Bastia vs Quevilly: head to head

All matches
6Bastia
3Draws
1Quevilly
31/10/26 · Bastia 2–0 Quevilly
10/2/24 · Quevilly 0–1 Bastia
16/12/23 · Bastia 0–0 Quevilly
11/2/23 · Bastia 0–1 Quevilly
10/1/23 · Quevilly 1–1 Bastia
8/1/22 · Bastia 3–0 Quevilly

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.3%

Bastia vs Quevilly: questions and answers

What is the best tip for Bastia vs Quevilly?

Our result tip is Bastia to win (odds 2.00), and our goals tip is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75). The safer pick is Bastia or draw (1X).

Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?

Our probabilities: Bastia to win 47%, a draw 28%, Quevilly to win 25%.

What time and where is kick-off?

31 October 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.

Who will be missing?

Bastia: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.

Will there be three or more goals?

Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 46% (odds 2.11); under 2.5 goals is at 54% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

We think both teams will score with a 50% probability (odds 2.00).

What is the likeliest correct score?

Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.5%); after that come 1–0 (12.5%) and 2–1 (9.1%).

How do you work out your predictions?

Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 NovCaen vs Versailles 7 NovBourg-en-bresse 01 vs Le Puy Foot 7 NovConcarneau vs Fleury 91 7 NovVillefranche vs Quevilly 7 Nov

18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.