Bet with MINO CASINO →Rouen meet Bastia on 7 November 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen). Rouen (55%) are the favourites here. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Rouen vs Bastia: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Rouen are 2nd with 23 points after 11 matches (7W 2D 2L), whereas Bastia are 11th with 15 points (4W 3D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Rouen have scored 1.8 and conceded 0.8 goals per game on average in this competition; Bastia average 0.9 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Rouen: 7W 2D 2L, goals 20–9; Bastia: 4W 3D 4L, goals 10–12.
What to expect
Rouen should have the edge here, in our view. Our projected score is 2–1, about 3 goals combined, and 1–0 (12.9%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), and our probability for it is 52%. We estimate both teams scoring at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Prediction: key points
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Rouen 20–9, Bastia 10–12.
- We are expecting about 3 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Absent: Rouen 0, Bastia 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: no
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: no (probability 52%, best available odds 1.85). Our projection of about 3 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Rouen are missing: no absences. Bastia are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Rouen vs Bastia: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 1.67 | 3.88 | 5.10 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 3.63 | 4.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.29 | 71.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.96 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.77 | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.50 | 3.35 | 27.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 1.95 | 47.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.76 | 52.4% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 02:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Rouen 1–0 Bastia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Rouen 2nd (23 points), Bastia 11th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Rouen 7W 2D 2L (20:9), Bastia 4W 3D 4L (10:12).
- Absences: Rouen 0, Bastia 0.
Who will win Rouen vs Bastia?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Rouen vs Bastia: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Rouen vs Bastia: who is missing
Rouen
- No reported absences
Bastia
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Rouen vs Bastia: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 | Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 | Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Rouen
Home and away
Rouen vs Bastia: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
RouenWLWLWBastiaWDDLDReturns calculator
Rouen vs Bastia: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Rouen vs Bastia?
Bastia +1 (Asian handicap) (1.72); Under 2.5 goals (1.84).
Who will win Rouen vs Bastia?
Our probabilities: Rouen to win 55%, a draw 25%, Bastia to win 20%.
What time and where is kick-off?
7 November 2026, kick-off at 13:45, at Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen.
Who will be missing?
Rouen: no absences. Bastia: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 48% (odds 2.08); under 2.5 goals is at 52% (odds 1.84).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 48% probability (odds 2.20).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–0 (12.9%); after that come 1–1 (11.6%) and 2–0 (10.6%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
18+ · All betting involves the risk of losing. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win. Please bet sensibly.