Bet with MINO CASINO →Valenciennes meet Orléans on 5 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes). We expect very little between them. Our tip, result probabilities, missing players and analysis follow.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: match preview and analysis
How we arrived at this tip
- Table. In the table, Valenciennes are 15th with 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L), whereas Orléans are 14th with 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Valenciennes have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.5 goals per game on average in this competition; Orléans average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Valenciennes: 2W 3D 6L, goals 11–17; Orléans: 2W 4D 5L, goals 10–15.
- Head to head. In their 13 meetings so far, Valenciennes have 7 wins, Orléans have 6 wins and 0 draws have been recorded; the goals stand at 18–16.
What to expect
We think the teams are evenly matched. Our projected score is 1–1, about 2 goals combined, and 1–1 (12.4%) is the single most probable outcome. We think the teams are evenly matched.
Our tip for goals is Both teams to score (odds 1.83), and our probability for it is 53%. We estimate both teams scoring at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Prediction: key points
- Meetings: 13; Valenciennes 7 wins, 0 draws, Orléans 6 wins.
- Meetings between these sides have averaged 2.6 goals.
- Goals scored and conceded in this competition: Valenciennes 11–17, Orléans 10–15.
- We are expecting about 2 goals, and we give over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Absent: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.
Alternative tip: Both sides to score: yes
Alternative pick: Both sides to score: yes (probability 53%, best available odds 1.83). Our projection of about 2 goals is in line with it.
Absences
Valenciennes are missing: no absences. Orléans are without: no absences. Team news may still change, so check again before kick-off.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: the odds compared
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best available odds | 2.25 | 3.31 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.14 | 3.21 | 3.11 |
| Lowest odds | 2.09 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.27 | 72.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.82 | 51.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.26 | 3.17 | 29.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.73 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.95 | 47.0% |
Odds collected from several bookmakers and updated 3/11/26, 00:30. They are only a guide and a single operator may offer different prices. Average margin is 10.0%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Valenciennes 1–1 Orléans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Valenciennes 15th (9 points), Orléans 14th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Valenciennes 2W 3D 6L (11:17), Orléans 2W 4D 5L (10:15).
- H2H: 13 matches: Valenciennes 7W 0D 6L, goals 18–16.
- Absences: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.
Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?
We base this estimate on several bookmakers' odds with the margin taken out. It is no guarantee of the outcome.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: more markets and betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. If the top available odds are bigger than the fair odds, there is value in the price. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider less than 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Valenciennes vs Orléans: who is missing
Valenciennes
- No reported absences
Orléans
- No reported absences
This list may be updated before kick-off.
Valenciennes vs Orléans: table positions and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 |  Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 | Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Valenciennes
Home and away
Valenciennes vs Orléans: team stats compared
These values rely on just this season's games, a sample that is still small.
Form in the competition
ValenciennesLDLWLOrléansDLDDLValenciennes vs Orléans: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Valenciennes vs Orléans: questions and answers
What is the best tip for Valenciennes vs Orléans?
Our result tip is Valenciennes or draw (1X) (odds 1.33), and our goals tip is Both teams to score (odds 1.83). The safer pick is Valenciennes or draw (1X).
Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?
Our probabilities: Valenciennes to win 42%, a draw 28%, Orléans to win 29%.
What time and where is kick-off?
5 November 2026, kick-off at 19:45, at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes.
Who will be missing?
Valenciennes: no absences. Orléans: no absences. This list may be updated before kick-off.
Will there be three or more goals?
Our probability for over 2.5 goals is 49% (odds 1.95); under 2.5 goals is at 51% (odds 1.85).
Will both teams score?
We think both teams will score with a 53% probability (odds 1.83).
What is the likeliest correct score?
Our likeliest score is 1–1 (12.4%); after that come 1–0 (10.8%) and 2–1 (9.0%).
How do you work out your predictions?
Our method begins with odds from several bookmakers: we take away the bookmaker margin and average what remains to get probabilities. A Poisson distribution then turns those into expected goals and the most probable scorelines. For context, the page also shows team form, the head to head and missing players. Treat our predictions as information, not a promise of a win.
More predictions
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